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La Liga

Referee: Alfonso Alvarez Izquierdo

Alaves

T T S S T

1–0

Full-time

Malaga

S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alaves Malaga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,3

This season — La Liga · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 22%

25%

19%

Points per game

0,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

38%

Both score Ø 31%

31%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

0,8

Conceded

1,6

1,9

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

41% Possession 59%

13 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 4

9 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 18

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Alaves 18. · Malaga 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	16	13	3	0	+35	42
2	Ath Madrid	16	10	6	0	+18	36
3	Valencia	16	10	4	2	+20	34
4	Real Madrid	15	9	4	2	+19	31
5	Sevilla	17	9	2	6	-2	29
6	Villarreal	16	7	3	6	+3	24
7	Eibar	17	7	3	7	-7	24
8	Getafe	17	6	5	6	+6	23
9	Sociedad	17	6	5	6	+2	23
10	Girona	17	6	5	6	-5	23
11	Leganes	16	6	3	7	-2	21
12	Betis	16	6	3	7	-4	21
13	Celta	16	5	3	8	+3	18
14	Ath Bilbao	16	4	6	6	-3	18
15	Levante	17	3	9	5	-7	18
16	Espanol	16	4	5	7	-8	17
17	La Coruna	16	4	3	9	-13	15
18	Alaves	16	4	0	12	-13	12
19	Malaga	16	3	2	11	-17	11
20	Las Palmas	17	3	2	12	-25	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	8	7	1	0	+22	22
2	Valencia	8	6	2	0	+15	20
3	Sevilla	8	6	2	0	+10	20
4	Real Madrid	8	5	2	1	+13	17
5	Eibar	9	5	2	2	+7	17
6	Getafe	9	5	1	3	+8	16
7	Ath Madrid	7	4	3	0	+5	15
8	Betis	8	4	2	2	+4	14
9	Villarreal	7	4	1	2	+8	13
10	Espanol	8	4	1	3	+2	13
11	Sociedad	9	3	3	3	+2	12
12	Celta	8	3	2	3	+1	11
13	Leganes	7	3	2	2	+0	11
14	Girona	9	3	2	4	-3	11
15	Ath Bilbao	8	2	4	2	+0	10
16	La Coruna	8	3	1	4	-4	10
17	Levante	10	2	4	4	-5	10
18	Malaga	8	2	2	4	-5	8
19	Las Palmas	8	2	1	5	-11	7
20	Alaves	8	2	0	6	-7	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	9	6	3	0	+13	21
2	Barcelona	8	6	2	0	+13	20
3	Real Madrid	7	4	2	1	+6	14
4	Valencia	8	4	2	2	+5	14
5	Girona	8	3	3	2	-2	12
6	Sociedad	8	3	2	3	+0	11
7	Villarreal	9	3	2	4	-5	11
8	Leganes	9	3	1	5	-2	10
9	Sevilla	9	3	0	6	-12	9
10	Levante	7	1	5	1	-2	8
11	Ath Bilbao	8	2	2	4	-3	8
12	Celta	8	2	1	5	+2	7
13	Getafe	8	1	4	3	-2	7
14	Betis	8	2	1	5	-8	7
15	Eibar	8	2	1	5	-14	7
16	Alaves	8	2	0	6	-6	6
17	La Coruna	8	1	2	5	-9	5
18	Espanol	8	0	4	4	-10	4
19	Las Palmas	9	1	1	7	-14	4
20	Malaga	8	1	0	7	-12	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.