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La Liga

Referee: Alberto Undiano

Malaga

U S T T T

1–2

Full-time

Alaves

T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malaga Alaves

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,2

3,5

Scored

0,7

1,5

Conceded

1,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,5

This season — La Liga · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 27%

23%

31%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

54%

42%

Both score Ø 58%

65%

50%

Average goals

2,9

2,2

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%

15 Shots 4

9 Shots on target 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 8

5 Corners 3

0 Offside 1

17 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Malaga 15. · Alaves 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	26	18	6	2	+55	60
2	Real Madrid	25	18	5	2	+41	59
3	Sevilla	27	17	6	4	+20	57
4	Ath Madrid	26	14	7	5	+26	49
5	Sociedad	26	15	3	8	+6	48
6	Villarreal	26	12	9	5	+19	45
7	Ath Bilbao	26	12	5	9	+2	41
8	Eibar	26	11	6	9	+5	39
9	Espanol	27	10	9	8	+1	39
10	Celta	25	10	5	10	-5	35
11	Alaves	26	8	10	8	-6	34
12	Las Palmas	27	8	8	11	-2	32
13	Valencia	27	8	6	13	-11	30
14	Betis	26	7	7	12	-14	28
15	Malaga	26	6	8	12	-11	26
16	Leganes	27	6	7	14	-19	25
17	La Coruna	26	5	9	12	-12	24
18	Granada	26	4	7	15	-30	19
19	Sp Gijon	27	4	6	17	-28	18
20	Osasuna	26	1	7	18	-37	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	13	10	3	0	+21	33
2	Ath Bilbao	14	10	3	1	+12	33
3	Sevilla	13	10	2	1	+13	32
4	Barcelona	13	9	3	1	+30	30
5	Ath Madrid	13	9	2	2	+18	29
6	Villarreal	14	8	3	3	+13	27
7	Las Palmas	14	7	5	2	+12	26
8	Eibar	14	8	2	4	+6	26
9	Celta	12	8	1	3	+6	25
10	Sociedad	13	7	3	3	+4	24
11	Espanol	14	6	5	3	+7	23
12	Malaga	12	6	2	4	+3	20
13	Betis	14	4	6	4	-2	18
14	Valencia	13	5	3	5	-4	18
15	La Coruna	12	4	4	4	+4	16
16	Granada	12	4	4	4	+1	16
17	Alaves	13	3	7	3	-6	16
18	Leganes	13	3	4	6	-5	13
19	Sp Gijon	13	3	2	8	-13	11
20	Osasuna	13	0	4	9	-17	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	13	9	3	1	+25	30
2	Real Madrid	12	8	2	2	+20	26
3	Sevilla	14	7	4	3	+7	25
4	Sociedad	13	8	0	5	+2	24
5	Ath Madrid	13	5	5	3	+8	20
6	Villarreal	12	4	6	2	+6	18
7	Alaves	13	5	3	5	+0	18
8	Espanol	13	4	4	5	-6	16
9	Eibar	12	3	4	5	-1	13
10	Valencia	14	3	3	8	-7	12
11	Leganes	14	3	3	8	-14	12
12	Celta	13	2	4	7	-11	10
13	Betis	12	3	1	8	-12	10
14	Ath Bilbao	12	2	2	8	-10	8
15	La Coruna	14	1	5	8	-16	8
16	Sp Gijon	14	1	4	9	-15	7
17	Las Palmas	13	1	3	9	-14	6
18	Malaga	14	0	6	8	-14	6
19	Osasuna	13	1	3	9	-20	6
20	Granada	14	0	3	11	-31	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.