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Premier League
Referee: Graham Scott
Everton
U S U S T
3–0
Full-time
West Brom
U S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Everton West Brom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,3
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,3
This season — Premier League · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 43%
44%
41%
Points per game
1,6
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
44%
48%
Both score Ø 54%
52%
56%
Average goals
2,7
2,6
Scored
1,6
1,3
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

62% Possession 38%
16 Shots 5
5 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 6
8 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Everton 7. · West Brom 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Chelsea 27 21 3 3 +37 66
2 Tottenham 27 16 8 3 +33 56
3 Man City 27 17 5 5 +24 56
4 Liverpool 27 15 7 5 +24 52
5 Arsenal 26 15 5 6 +24 50
6 Man United 26 13 10 3 +17 49
7 Everton 27 12 8 7 +14 44
8 West Brom 27 11 7 9 +2 40
9 Stoke 28 9 9 10 -8 36
10 Southampton 26 9 6 11 -2 33
11 West Ham 27 9 6 12 -10 33
12 Burnley 27 9 4 14 -10 31
13 Watford 27 8 7 12 -14 31
14 Bournemouth 27 7 6 14 -15 27
15 Leicester 27 7 6 14 -15 27
16 Swansea 27 8 3 16 -24 27
17 Crystal Palace 27 7 4 16 -11 25
18 Middlesbrough 27 4 10 13 -11 22
19 Hull 27 5 6 16 -29 21
20 Sunderland 27 5 4 18 -26 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Everton West Brom
1–0 K. Mirallas
39′
2–0 M. Schneiderlin
R. Lukaku
45′
Half-time 2–0
Ramiro Funes Mori 🔁
↦ L. Baines
46′
I. Gueye 🔁
↦ K. Mirallas
71′
73′
🟨 Claudio Yacob
75′
🔁 C. Brunt
↦ J. McClean
76′
🔁 S. Rondón
↦ H. Robson-Kanu
79′
🔁 J. Morrison
↦ C. Yacob
Gareth Barry 🟨
81′
3–0 R. Lukaku
R. Barkley
82′
D. Calvert-Lewin 🔁
↦ G. Barry
84′
88′
🟨 Craig Dawson
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Everton

4-2-3-1
1 Joel Robles G
6 P. Jagielka D
3 L. Baines D
23 S. Coleman D
5 A. Williams D
18 G. Barry M
2 M. Schneiderlin M
8 R. Barkley M
26 T. Davies M
11 K. Mirallas M
10 R. Lukaku F
Bench (7)
25 Ramiro Funes Mori
17 I. Gueye
29 D. Calvert-Lewin
19 E. Valencia
22 M. Stekelenburg
30 M. Holgate
31 A. Lookman

Coach: R. Koeman

West Brom

4-3-3
1 B. Foster G
23 G. McAuley D
6 J. Evans D
2 A. Nyom D
25 C. Dawson D
24 D. Fletcher M
5 C. Yacob M
4 H. Robson-Kanu F
22 N. Chadli F
8 J. Livermore M
14 J. McClean F
Bench (7)
11 C. Brunt
9 S. Rondón
7 J. Morrison
3 J. Olsson
12 M. Wilson
13 G. Myhill
47 S. Field

Coach: T. Pulis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Graham Scott · 99 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.