La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Granada
Betis
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 3–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Real Madrid
|
20 | 15 | 4 | 1 | +36 | 49 |
| 2 |
Barcelona
|
22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | +43 | 48 |
| 3 |
Sevilla
|
22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | +16 | 46 |
| 4 |
Ath Madrid
|
22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | +21 | 42 |
| 5 |
Sociedad
|
22 | 13 | 2 | 7 | +5 | 41 |
| 6 |
Villarreal
|
22 | 9 | 9 | 4 | +14 | 36 |
| 7 |
Eibar
|
22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | +7 | 35 |
| 8 |
Ath Bilbao
|
22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | +2 | 35 |
| 9 |
Espanol
|
22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | +1 | 32 |
| 10 |
Celta
|
21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | -3 | 30 |
| 11 |
Las Palmas
|
22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | -2 | 28 |
| 12 |
Alaves
|
22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | -7 | 27 |
| 13 |
Betis
|
21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | -10 | 24 |
| 14 |
Malaga
|
22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | -7 | 23 |
| 15 |
Valencia
|
21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | -11 | 20 |
| 16 |
La Coruna
|
21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -8 | 19 |
| 17 |
Leganes
|
22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -22 | 18 |
| 18 |
Sp Gijon
|
22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | -19 | 16 |
| 19 |
Granada
|
22 | 2 | 7 | 13 | -31 | 13 |
| 20 |
Osasuna
|
22 | 1 | 7 | 14 | -25 | 10 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
D. Foulquier
D
M. Hongla
D
Coach: Lucas Alcaraz
A. Mandi
D
J. Martin
M
Coach: Víctor Sánchez
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Eibar
Granada
Granada
Las Palmas
Villarreal
Granada
Espanol
Granada
Granada
Osasuna
Daniel Ocon Arraiz · 17 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.