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Serie A

Referee: Antonio Damato

Udinese

S S S U T

0–1

Full-time

Roma

S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Udinese Roma

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,7

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,2

2,3

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

0,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,0

This season — Serie A · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 53%

37%

68%

Points per game

1,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 66%

63%

68%

Both score Ø 56%

58%

53%

Average goals

2,7

3,1

Scored

1,3

2,1

Conceded

1,4

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

46% Possession 54%

10 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 7

0 Offside 3

16 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Udinese 11. · Roma 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	18	15	0	3	+25	45
2	Roma	19	13	2	4	+22	41
3	Napoli	19	11	5	3	+20	38
4	Lazio	19	11	4	4	+12	37
5	Inter	20	11	3	6	+10	36
6	Milan	18	11	3	4	+8	36
7	Atalanta	19	11	2	6	+9	35
8	Torino	19	8	5	6	+9	29
9	Fiorentina	18	7	6	5	+4	27
10	Cagliari	20	8	2	10	-13	26
11	Udinese	19	7	4	8	-1	25
12	Chievo	20	7	4	9	-6	25
13	Sampdoria	19	6	5	8	-4	23
14	Genoa	20	6	5	9	-5	23
15	Bologna	19	6	5	8	-7	23
16	Sassuolo	19	5	3	11	-9	18
17	Empoli	19	4	5	10	-15	17
18	Palermo	19	2	4	13	-20	10
19	Pescara	18	1	6	11	-19	9
20	Crotone	19	2	3	14	-20	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	10	10	0	0	+21	30
2	Roma	9	9	0	0	+20	27
3	Inter	10	7	2	1	+13	23
4	Napoli	10	7	2	1	+12	23
5	Milan	10	7	2	1	+7	23
6	Lazio	10	7	1	2	+11	22
7	Cagliari	10	7	1	2	+4	22
8	Torino	9	6	2	1	+11	20
9	Atalanta	9	6	0	3	+4	18
10	Sampdoria	9	5	2	2	+4	17
11	Fiorentina	9	4	5	0	+4	17
12	Genoa	10	4	4	2	+6	16
13	Chievo	10	4	3	3	-1	15
14	Bologna	9	4	2	3	+2	14
15	Udinese	10	4	2	4	+1	14
16	Sassuolo	9	4	1	4	-2	13
17	Empoli	10	3	2	5	-9	11
18	Crotone	9	2	2	5	-5	8
19	Pescara	9	0	4	5	-11	4
20	Palermo	9	0	1	8	-14	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Atalanta	10	5	2	3	+5	17
2	Napoli	9	4	3	2	+8	15
3	Juventus	8	5	0	3	+4	15
4	Lazio	9	4	3	2	+1	15
5	Roma	10	4	2	4	+2	14
6	Milan	8	4	1	3	+1	13
7	Inter	10	4	1	5	-3	13
8	Udinese	9	3	2	4	-2	11
9	Fiorentina	9	3	1	5	+0	10
10	Chievo	10	3	1	6	-5	10
11	Torino	10	2	3	5	-2	9
12	Palermo	10	2	3	5	-6	9
13	Bologna	10	2	3	5	-9	9
14	Genoa	10	2	1	7	-11	7
15	Empoli	9	1	3	5	-6	6
16	Sampdoria	10	1	3	6	-8	6
17	Sassuolo	10	1	2	7	-7	5
18	Pescara	9	1	2	6	-8	5
19	Cagliari	10	1	1	8	-17	4
20	Crotone	10	0	1	9	-15	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.