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La Liga

Referee: Carlos Del Cerro Grande

Ath Bilbao

S T S T S

0–0

Full-time

Alaves

T S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Alaves

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,2

1,2

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

1,0

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,5

This season — La Liga · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 41%

50%

31%

Points per game

1,6

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 51%

63%

38%

Both score Ø 60%

69%

50%

Average goals

2,6

2,0

Scored

1,4

0,9

Conceded

1,2

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%

15 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

13 Corners 4

1 Offside 5

10 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Bilbao 7. · Alaves 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	16	12	4	0	+31	40
2	Sevilla	17	11	3	3	+15	36
3	Barcelona	16	10	4	2	+25	34
4	Ath Madrid	17	9	4	4	+17	31
5	Villarreal	16	8	5	3	+14	29
6	Sociedad	17	9	2	6	+3	29
7	Ath Bilbao	16	8	2	6	+3	26
8	Las Palmas	17	6	6	5	+3	24
9	Eibar	17	6	5	6	+0	23
10	Espanol	17	5	8	4	-2	23
11	Malaga	16	5	6	5	-1	21
12	Alaves	16	5	6	5	-2	21
13	Celta	16	6	3	7	-6	21
14	Betis	16	5	3	8	-11	18
15	La Coruna	17	4	5	8	-5	17
16	Leganes	16	4	4	8	-14	16
17	Valencia	15	3	3	9	-8	12
18	Sp Gijon	17	3	3	11	-17	12
19	Granada	17	1	6	10	-24	9
20	Osasuna	16	1	4	11	-21	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	9	7	2	0	+15	23
2	Sevilla	8	7	0	1	+9	21
3	Villarreal	8	6	1	1	+12	19
4	Las Palmas	9	5	4	0	+9	19
5	Ath Bilbao	8	6	1	1	+7	19
6	Ath Madrid	8	5	2	1	+12	17
7	Malaga	8	5	2	1	+6	17
8	Eibar	9	5	2	2	+4	17
9	Sociedad	9	5	2	2	+3	17
10	Barcelona	8	4	3	1	+11	15
11	Celta	8	5	0	3	+0	15
12	La Coruna	8	4	1	3	+5	13
13	Betis	8	3	3	2	-2	12
14	Espanol	9	2	5	2	+0	11
15	Alaves	8	2	4	2	-1	10
16	Sp Gijon	8	3	1	4	-6	10
17	Granada	8	1	3	4	-4	6
18	Leganes	8	1	3	4	-6	6
19	Valencia	7	1	2	4	-5	5
20	Osasuna	8	0	2	6	-11	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	8	6	1	1	+14	19
2	Real Madrid	7	5	2	0	+16	17
3	Sevilla	9	4	3	2	+6	15
4	Ath Madrid	9	4	2	3	+5	14
5	Sociedad	8	4	0	4	+0	12
6	Espanol	8	3	3	2	-2	12
7	Alaves	8	3	2	3	-1	11
8	Villarreal	8	2	4	2	+2	10
9	Leganes	8	3	1	4	-8	10
10	Valencia	8	2	1	5	-3	7
11	Ath Bilbao	8	2	1	5	-4	7
12	Eibar	8	1	3	4	-4	6
13	Celta	8	1	3	4	-6	6
14	Betis	8	2	0	6	-9	6
15	Las Palmas	8	1	2	5	-6	5
16	Osasuna	8	1	2	5	-10	5
17	Malaga	8	0	4	4	-7	4
18	La Coruna	9	0	4	5	-10	4
19	Granada	9	0	3	6	-20	3
20	Sp Gijon	9	0	2	7	-11	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.