La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Eibar
Alaves
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Real Madrid
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 | +26 | 37 |
| 2 |
Barcelona
|
15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | +22 | 31 |
| 3 |
Sevilla
|
14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | +5 | 27 |
| 4 |
Sociedad
|
15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | +5 | 26 |
| 5 |
Ath Madrid
|
14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | +17 | 25 |
| 6 |
Villarreal
|
14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | +9 | 23 |
| 7 |
Ath Bilbao
|
14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +3 | 23 |
| 8 |
Las Palmas
|
15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | +3 | 21 |
| 9 |
Malaga
|
15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 21 |
| 10 |
Eibar
|
14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | +2 | 21 |
| 11 |
Celta
|
14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 21 |
| 12 |
Espanol
|
14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | +0 | 19 |
| 13 |
Alaves
|
14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | -3 | 17 |
| 14 |
Betis
|
14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -11 | 15 |
| 15 |
Leganes
|
15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -14 | 15 |
| 16 |
La Coruna
|
15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -7 | 13 |
| 17 |
Valencia
|
15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -8 | 12 |
| 18 |
Sp Gijon
|
14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -13 | 12 |
| 19 |
Granada
|
15 | 1 | 6 | 8 | -17 | 9 |
| 20 |
Osasuna
|
15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | -19 | 7 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Arbilla
D
F. Lejeune
D
Dani García
M
Rubén Peña
D
Coach: Mendilibar
Kiko Femenía
D
Marcos Llorente
M
Coach: M. Pellegrino
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Ath Bilbao
Eibar
Eibar
Betis
Eibar
Celta
Las Palmas
Eibar
Eibar
Villarreal
Daniel Jesus Trujillo Suarez · 36 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.