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La Liga
Referee: Carlos Del Cerro Grande
Espanol
S U S S U
2–1
Full-time
Sp Gijon
U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Espanol Sp Gijon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
2,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
1,8
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
0,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,3
This season — La Liga · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 25%
29%
21%
Points per game
1,4
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
36%
79%
Both score Ø 54%
36%
71%
Average goals
2,4
3,1
Scored
1,2
1,1
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,9
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%
12 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Espanol 12. · Sp Gijon 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 15 11 4 0 +26 37
2 Barcelona 15 9 4 2 +22 31
3 Sevilla 15 9 3 3 +8 30
4 Sociedad 15 8 2 5 +5 26
5 Ath Madrid 14 7 4 3 +17 25
6 Villarreal 14 6 5 3 +9 23
7 Ath Bilbao 14 7 2 5 +3 23
8 Eibar 15 6 4 5 +2 22
9 Las Palmas 15 5 6 4 +3 21
10 Malaga 15 5 6 4 +2 21
11 Celta 15 6 3 6 -5 21
12 Espanol 14 4 7 3 +0 19
13 Alaves 15 4 6 5 -3 18
14 Betis 14 4 3 7 -11 15
15 Leganes 15 4 3 8 -14 15
16 La Coruna 15 3 4 8 -7 13
17 Valencia 15 3 3 9 -8 12
18 Sp Gijon 14 3 3 8 -13 12
19 Granada 15 1 6 8 -17 9
20 Osasuna 15 1 4 10 -19 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Espanol Sp Gijon
Álvaro Vázquez 🔁
↦ H. Pérez
20′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 F. Caicedo
Víctor Sánchez
54′
P. Diop 🔁
↦ Álvaro Vázquez
63′
66′
🔁 Burgui
↦ Moi Gómez
66′
🔁 Viguera
↦ J. Babin
Papakouli Diop 🟨
68′
77′
🔁 Víctor Rodríguez
↦ Carlos Carmona
Marc Roca 🔁
↦ F. Caicedo
80′
84′
🟨 Rachid Aït-Atmane
86′
🟨 Sergio Álvarez
2–0 Léo Baptistão
90′
92′
D. Čop 2–1
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Espanol

4-4-2
13 Diego López G
23 D. Reyes D
29 Aarón Martín D
14 José Jurado M
18 Javi Fuego M
4 Víctor Sánchez M
15 David López D
10 F. Caicedo F
17 H. Pérez M
7 Gerard Moreno F
11 Léo Baptistão F
Bench (7)
22 Álvaro Vázquez
20 P. Diop
28 Marc Roca
1 Roberto Jiménez
3 Rubén Duarte
6 Ó. Duarte
9 José Antonio Reyes

Coach: Quique Sánchez Flores

Sp Gijon

5-4-1
1 Pichu Cuéllar G
5 F. Amorebieta D
3 J. Babin D
2 Douglas Pereira D
4 Jorge Meré D
18 Isma López M
6 Sergio Álvarez M
8 R. Aït-Atmane M
23 Moi Gómez M
24 D. Čop F
19 Carlos Carmona M
Bench (7)
14 Burgui
25 Viguera
7 Víctor Rodríguez
10 Nacho Cases
13 Diego Mariño
15 Canella
29 Juan Rodríguez

Coach: Abelardo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Carlos Del Cerro Grande · 78 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.