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Premier League
Referee: Mark Clattenburg
Liverpool
S S U S T
2–2
Full-time
West Ham
T U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Liverpool West Ham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,2
3,0
Scored
2,8
1,0
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-1,0
This season — Premier League · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 43%
64%
21%
Points per game
2,1
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
64%
50%
Both score Ø 68%
71%
64%
Average goals
3,8
3,1
Scored
2,5
1,1
Conceded
1,3
2,1
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

67% Possession 33%
19 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 3
9 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
11 Corners 4
5 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Liverpool 3. · West Ham 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Chelsea 15 12 1 2 +22 37
2 Arsenal 15 10 4 1 +21 34
3 Liverpool 14 9 3 2 +17 30
4 Man City 15 9 3 3 +13 30
5 Tottenham 15 7 6 2 +13 27
6 Man United 15 6 6 3 +4 24
7 Watford 15 6 3 6 -5 21
8 West Brom 15 5 5 5 +2 20
9 Everton 15 5 5 5 +0 20
10 Southampton 15 5 5 5 -1 20
11 Stoke 15 5 4 6 -5 19
12 Bournemouth 15 5 3 7 -4 18
13 Burnley 15 5 2 8 -10 17
14 Leicester 15 4 4 7 -5 16
15 Crystal Palace 15 4 3 8 -2 15
16 Middlesbrough 15 3 6 6 -3 15
17 Swansea 15 3 3 9 -12 12
18 West Ham 14 3 3 8 -14 12
19 Hull 15 3 3 9 -18 12
20 Sunderland 15 3 2 10 -13 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Liverpool West Ham
1–0 A. Lallana
S. Mané
5′
27′
D. Payet 1–1
39′
M. Antonio 1–2
Half-time 1–2
R. Klavan 🔁
↦ D. Lovren
46′
2–2 D. Origi
48′
Roberto Firmino 🟨
53′
63′
🔁 A. Carroll
↦ A. Ayew
Sadio Mané 🟨
76′
78′
🔁 E. Fernandes
↦ M. Lanzini
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Liverpool

4-3-3
1 L. Karius G
6 D. Lovren D
2 N. Clyne D
32 J. Matip D
7 J. Milner D
5 G. Wijnaldum M
20 A. Lallana M
14 J. Henderson M
11 Roberto Firmino F
19 S. Mané F
27 D. Origi F
Bench (7)
17 R. Klavan
22 S. Mignolet
18 Alberto Moreno
53 O. Ejaria
66 T. Arnold
58 B. Woodburn
21 Lucas Leiva

Coach: J. Klopp

West Ham

4-1-4-1
1 D. Randolph G
21 A. Ogbonna D
2 W. Reid D
3 A. Cresswell D
27 D. Payet M
16 M. Noble M
4 H. Nordtveit D
30 M. Antonio F
14 Pedro Obiang M
10 M. Lanzini M
20 A. Ayew M
Bench (7)
9 A. Carroll
31 E. Fernandes
24 A. Fletcher
66 A. Pike
43 M. Browne
36 Domingos Quina
13 Adrián

Coach: S. Bilić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Mark Clattenburg · 53 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
9,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.