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Serie A

Referee: Gianpaolo Calvarese

Cagliari

S T T S U

0–5

Full-time

Napoli

T U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cagliari Napoli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,3

2,5

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

2,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,8

This season — Serie A · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 47%

40%

53%

Points per game

1,3

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 74%

87%

60%

Both score Ø 70%

80%

60%

Average goals

3,7

2,8

Scored

1,5

1,8

Conceded

2,1

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

27% Possession 73%

6 Shots 23

3 Shots on target 11

3 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 10

4 Offside 1

17 Free kicks against 10

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cagliari 12. · Napoli 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	15	12	0	3	+19	36
2	Roma	15	10	2	3	+19	32
3	Milan	15	10	2	3	+8	32
4	Lazio	16	9	4	3	+12	31
5	Napoli	15	8	4	3	+12	28
6	Atalanta	15	9	1	5	+7	28
7	Torino	15	7	4	4	+12	25
8	Fiorentina	14	6	5	3	+6	23
9	Sampdoria	16	6	4	6	-2	22
10	Inter	15	6	3	6	+1	21
11	Genoa	14	5	5	4	+2	20
12	Cagliari	15	6	2	7	-9	20
13	Chievo	15	5	4	6	-2	19
14	Udinese	15	5	3	7	-4	18
15	Sassuolo	15	5	2	8	-6	17
16	Bologna	15	4	4	7	-8	16
17	Empoli	15	2	4	9	-17	10
18	Crotone	16	2	3	11	-16	9
19	Pescara	16	1	5	10	-16	8
20	Palermo	15	1	3	11	-18	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	8	8	0	0	+17	24
2	Roma	7	7	0	0	+17	21
3	Milan	8	6	1	1	+6	19
4	Torino	7	5	2	0	+12	17
5	Napoli	8	5	2	1	+9	17
6	Lazio	8	5	1	2	+8	16
7	Cagliari	7	5	1	1	+5	16
8	Sampdoria	8	5	1	2	+4	16
9	Atalanta	7	5	0	2	+5	15
10	Inter	7	4	2	1	+6	14
11	Genoa	7	3	4	0	+7	13
12	Fiorentina	7	3	4	0	+3	13
13	Bologna	8	4	1	3	+2	13
14	Chievo	8	3	3	2	+1	12
15	Sassuolo	7	4	0	3	-1	12
16	Udinese	8	3	2	3	+0	11
17	Crotone	8	2	2	4	-4	8
18	Empoli	8	1	2	5	-12	5
19	Pescara	8	0	4	4	-8	4
20	Palermo	7	0	0	7	-12	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lazio	8	4	3	1	+4	15
2	Milan	7	4	1	2	+2	13
3	Atalanta	8	4	1	3	+2	13
4	Juventus	7	4	0	3	+2	12
5	Napoli	7	3	2	2	+3	11
6	Roma	8	3	2	3	+2	11
7	Fiorentina	7	3	1	3	+3	10
8	Torino	8	2	2	4	+0	8
9	Chievo	7	2	1	4	-3	7
10	Udinese	7	2	1	4	-4	7
11	Inter	8	2	1	5	-5	7
12	Genoa	7	2	1	4	-5	7
13	Sampdoria	8	1	3	4	-6	6
14	Palermo	8	1	3	4	-6	6
15	Sassuolo	8	1	2	5	-5	5
16	Empoli	7	1	2	4	-5	5
17	Pescara	8	1	1	6	-8	4
18	Cagliari	8	1	1	6	-14	4
19	Bologna	7	0	3	4	-10	3
20	Crotone	8	0	1	7	-12	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.