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Eredivisie
Referee: Bas Nijhuis
Feyenoord
U U T S U
6–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Feyenoord Sparta Rotterdam
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,2
3,7
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
This season — Eredivisie · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 50%
71%
29%
Points per game
2,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
57%
57%
Both score Ø 54%
43%
64%
Average goals
3,1
3,0
Scored
2,4
1,5
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

65% Possession 35%
23 Shots 10
8 Shots on target 6
7 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
10 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Feyenoord 1. · Sparta Rotterdam 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 14 10 3 1 +24 33
2 Ajax 14 10 3 1 +21 33
3 PSV Eindhoven 15 8 6 1 +16 30
4 Heerenveen 14 7 4 3 +12 25
5 AZ Alkmaar 13 5 7 1 +10 22
6 Twente 14 5 5 4 +3 20
7 Vitesse 15 5 5 5 +3 20
8 Utrecht 13 5 5 3 +3 20
9 Heracles 15 4 6 5 -5 18
10 Sparta Rotterdam 14 4 5 5 +0 17
11 Excelsior 15 4 3 8 -8 15
12 Nijmegen 15 3 6 6 -13 15
13 Willem II 14 3 5 6 -8 14
14 Den Haag 15 4 2 9 -11 14
15 Groningen 13 3 4 6 -4 13
16 Zwolle 15 3 4 8 -18 13
17 Roda 15 1 9 5 -11 12
18 Go Ahead Eagles 15 3 2 10 -14 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Feyenoord Sparta Rotterdam
1′
🟨 Mart Dijkstra
1–0 T. Vilhena
24′
Jan-Arie Van der Heijden 🟨
37′
40′
🟨 Bart Vriends
2–0 J. Toornstra
R. Karsdorp
43′
Half-time 3–0
3–0 N. Jørgensen
J. Toornstra
59′
60′
🔁 P. van Moorsel
↦ B. Vriends
61′
🔁 M. Pogba
↦ Z. El Azzouzi
4–0 N. Jørgensen
E. Elia
64′
B. Basaçikoglu 🔁
↦ D. Kuijt
65′
Simon Gustafson 🔁
↦ J. Toornstra
69′
5–0 Eric Botteghin
J. van der Heijden
73′
M. Kramer 🔁
↦ N. Jørgensen
76′
79′
🔁 T. Verhaar
↦ C. Goodwin
86′
T. Verhaar 5–1
L. Brogno
6–1 E. Elia
M. Nelom
92′
Full-time 6–1

Line-ups

Feyenoord

4-3-3
25 B. Jones G
6 J. van der Heijden D
33 Eric Botteghin D
18 M. Nelom D
2 R. Karsdorp D
8 K. El Ahmadi M
28 J. Toornstra M
10 T. Vilhena M
7 D. Kuijt M
11 E. Elia M
9 N. Jørgensen F
Bench (12)
14 B. Basaçikoglu
27 Simon Gustafson
29 M. Kramer
5 M. Vejinovic
15 L. Woudenberg
19 S. Berghuis
20 R. Tapia
22 J. Bijlow
26 B. Nieuwkoop
30 P. Hansson
31 W. Dammers
40 M. El Hankouri

Coach: G. van Bronckhorst

Sparta Rotterdam

4-3-3
1 R. Kortsmit G
5 M. Breuer D
6 B. Vriends D
8 M. Dijkstra M
2 D. Dumfries D
3 R. van Drongelen D
4 K. Dougall M
10 S. Spierings F
7 L. Brogno F
11 C. Goodwin M
9 Z. El Azzouzi F
Bench (10)
16 P. van Moorsel
19 M. Pogba
18 T. Verhaar
15 Iván Calero
14 D. Mendes da Silva
20 M. Verrips
13 S. Floranus
30 R. Kieboom
17 F. Stokkers
12 R. Ketting

Coach: A. Pastoor

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Bas Nijhuis · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
15,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.