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La Liga
Referee: Mario Melero Lopez
Las Palmas
T U U U T
3–3
Full-time
Celta
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Las Palmas Celta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,7
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,3
This season — La Liga · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 39%
33%
44%
Points per game
1,3
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 73%
78%
67%
Both score Ø 61%
78%
44%
Average goals
3,6
3,3
Scored
1,9
1,4
Conceded
1,7
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

75% Possession 25%
17 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 6
6 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 1
2 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 22
2 Yellow cards 8
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Las Palmas 10. · Celta 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 10 7 3 0 +18 24
2 Barcelona 10 7 1 2 +18 22
3 Ath Madrid 10 6 3 1 +19 21
4 Sevilla 10 6 3 1 +5 21
5 Villarreal 10 5 4 1 +10 19
6 Sociedad 10 5 1 4 +4 16
7 Ath Bilbao 10 5 1 4 +2 16
8 Eibar 10 4 3 3 +2 15
9 Celta 9 4 1 4 -4 13
10 Las Palmas 9 3 3 3 +2 12
11 Malaga 10 3 3 4 +0 12
12 Espanol 10 2 5 3 -4 11
13 Betis 10 3 2 5 -9 11
14 Alaves 10 2 4 4 -5 10
15 Leganes 10 3 1 6 -10 10
16 Valencia 9 3 0 6 -5 9
17 Sp Gijon 10 2 3 5 -11 9
18 La Coruna 9 2 2 5 -8 8
19 Osasuna 10 1 4 5 -8 7
20 Granada 10 0 3 7 -16 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.