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La Liga
Referee: Inaki Vicandi Garrido
Barcelona
S S S U U
4–0
Full-time
Betis
T S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Betis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
3,2
1,0
Scored
2,7
0,5
Conceded
0,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+2,2
+0,0
This season — La Liga · 15/16 matches
Win Ø 52%
73%
31%
Points per game
2,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
73%
31%
Both score Ø 52%
60%
44%
Average goals
3,4
2,0
Scored
2,4
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,4
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

62% Possession 38%
16 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 3
4 Offside 0
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Barcelona 3. · Betis 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ath Madrid 17 12 2 3 +16 38
2 Real Madrid 17 11 3 3 +29 36
3 Barcelona 15 11 2 2 +21 35
4 Celta 16 9 4 3 +6 31
5 Villarreal 16 9 3 4 +6 30
6 La Coruna 16 6 8 2 +9 26
7 Sevilla 17 7 5 5 +4 26
8 Ath Bilbao 16 7 3 6 +6 24
9 Eibar 17 6 6 5 +2 24
10 Valencia 16 5 7 4 +7 22
11 Malaga 17 5 5 7 -3 20
12 Betis 16 5 5 6 -6 20
13 Espanol 17 6 2 9 -12 20
14 Sociedad 17 4 4 9 -7 16
15 Getafe 16 4 4 8 -8 16
16 Sp Gijon 16 4 3 9 -10 15
17 Granada 16 3 5 8 -10 14
18 Vallecano 17 4 2 11 -21 14
19 Las Palmas 16 3 4 9 -11 13
20 Levante 17 2 5 10 -18 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Barcelona Betis
17′
🔁 G. Pezzella
↦ Bruno González
27′
🟨 Antonio Adán
0–1 H. Westermann
own goal
29′
30′
🟨 Petros
1–1 L. Messi
Neymar
33′
36′
🔁 D. Digard
↦ H. Westermann
Half-time 2–1
2–1 L. Suárez
Busquets
46′
Bartra 🔁
↦ Busquets
57′
Adriano Correia 🔁
↦ J. Mathieu
67′
68′
🟨 Germán Pezzella
75′
🔁 R. van der Vaart
↦ Rubén Castro
Dani Alves 🟨
77′
3–1 L. Suárez
Neymar
83′
Munir 🔁
↦ Sergi Roberto
86′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Barcelona

13 C. Bravo G
24 J. Mathieu D
23 T. Vermaelen D
6 Dani Alves D
14 J. Mascherano M
4 I. Rakitić M
5 Busquets M
20 Sergi Roberto D
10 L. Messi F
9 L. Suárez F
11 Neymar F
Bench (7)
15 Bartra
21 Adriano Correia
17 Munir
1 M. ter Stegen
3 Piqué
8 Iniesta
18 Jordi Alba

Betis

13 Adán G
17 H. Westermann D
2 Molinero
4 Bruno González D
18 A. N'Diaye M
11 J. Vargas D
16 Cejudo M
25 Petros M
10 Dani Ceballos M
24 Rubén Castro F
9 R. van Wolfswinkel F
Bench (7)
20 G. Pezzella
15 D. Digard
23 R. van der Vaart
1 Dani Giménez
7 Joaquín
12 C. Piccini
22 Portillo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Inaki Vicandi Garrido · 38 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
14,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.