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La Liga

Referee: Ignacio Iglesias Villanueva

Barcelona

S S S S S

4–0

Full-time

Sociedad

T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Sociedad

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,8

3,2

Scored

3,0

1,5

Conceded

0,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+2,2

-0,2

This season — La Liga · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 54%

83%

25%

Points per game

2,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

75%

42%

Both score Ø 42%

58%

25%

Average goals

3,4

2,3

Scored

2,4

1,2

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,4

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

55% Possession 45%

11 Shots 10

6 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 4

4 Offside 1

0 Free kicks against 0

0 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Barcelona 1. · Sociedad 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	12	10	0	2	+17	30
2	Ath Madrid	12	8	2	2	+11	26
3	Real Madrid	12	7	3	2	+15	24
4	Villarreal	12	6	3	3	+4	21
5	Celta	12	6	3	3	+2	21
6	Eibar	12	5	5	2	+5	20
7	Valencia	12	5	4	3	+8	19
8	La Coruna	12	4	6	2	+5	18
9	Betis	13	5	3	5	-5	18
10	Ath Bilbao	12	5	2	5	+2	17
11	Espanol	12	5	1	6	-9	16
12	Sevilla	12	4	3	5	-1	15
13	Vallecano	12	4	2	6	-6	14
14	Sociedad	12	3	3	6	+0	12
15	Sp Gijon	12	3	3	6	-7	12
16	Getafe	12	3	2	7	-7	11
17	Granada	12	2	4	6	-7	10
18	Las Palmas	12	2	4	6	-7	10
19	Levante	13	2	4	7	-14	10
20	Malaga	12	2	3	7	-6	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	6	6	0	0	+13	18
2	Real Madrid	6	4	1	1	+7	13
3	Villarreal	6	4	1	1	+5	13
4	Ath Madrid	6	4	1	1	+4	13
5	Valencia	6	3	3	0	+7	12
6	Ath Bilbao	6	4	0	2	+6	12
7	Sevilla	6	4	0	2	+4	12
8	Eibar	6	3	2	1	+3	11
9	Getafe	6	3	1	2	+5	10
10	Vallecano	6	3	1	2	+1	10
11	Espanol	6	3	1	2	-3	10
12	La Coruna	6	2	3	1	+4	9
13	Malaga	6	2	2	2	+2	8
14	Las Palmas	6	2	2	2	+1	8
15	Celta	6	2	2	2	+0	8
16	Levante	7	1	3	3	-5	6
17	Sociedad	6	1	2	3	-2	5
18	Sp Gijon	6	1	2	3	-4	5
19	Granada	6	1	2	3	-5	5
20	Betis	6	1	1	4	-5	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Betis	7	4	2	1	+0	14
2	Ath Madrid	6	4	1	1	+7	13
3	Celta	6	4	1	1	+2	13
4	Barcelona	6	4	0	2	+4	12
5	Real Madrid	6	3	2	1	+8	11
6	Eibar	6	2	3	1	+2	9
7	La Coruna	6	2	3	1	+1	9
8	Villarreal	6	2	2	2	-1	8
9	Sociedad	6	2	1	3	+2	7
10	Valencia	6	2	1	3	+1	7
11	Sp Gijon	6	2	1	3	-3	7
12	Espanol	6	2	0	4	-6	6
13	Granada	6	1	2	3	-2	5
14	Ath Bilbao	6	1	2	3	-4	5
15	Vallecano	6	1	1	4	-7	4
16	Levante	6	1	1	4	-9	4
17	Sevilla	6	0	3	3	-5	3
18	Las Palmas	6	0	2	4	-8	2
19	Malaga	6	0	1	5	-8	1
20	Getafe	6	0	1	5	-12	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.