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Ligue 1
Referee: Said Ennjimi
Toulouse
T T U T T
2–0
Full-time
Nice
T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Toulouse Nice
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
0,7
1,7
Conceded
2,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,8
+0,7
This season — Ligue 1 · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 29%
7%
50%
Points per game
0,6
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
57%
71%
Both score Ø 68%
64%
71%
Average goals
2,9
3,4
Scored
0,9
2,1
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,1
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

37% Possession 63%
11 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 3
3 Offside 0
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Toulouse 19. · Nice 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 15 13 2 0 +29 41
2 Lyon 15 7 4 4 +7 25
3 Caen 14 8 1 5 +0 25
4 Nice 14 7 3 4 +13 24
5 Angers 14 6 5 3 +3 23
6 Monaco 14 6 5 3 +0 23
7 St Etienne 14 7 1 6 -2 22
8 Rennes 14 5 6 3 +3 21
9 Lorient 14 5 5 4 +3 20
10 Guingamp 14 5 4 5 -2 19
11 Nantes 14 6 1 7 -3 19
12 Marseille 14 5 3 6 +6 18
13 Montpellier 15 5 3 7 -1 18
14 Bordeaux 14 4 6 4 -2 18
15 Reims 14 4 3 7 -4 15
16 Gazelec FC Ajaccio 14 4 3 7 -5 15
17 Lille 14 2 8 4 -1 14
18 Bastia 14 4 2 8 -6 14
19 Toulouse 14 1 6 7 -16 9
20 Troyes 15 0 5 10 -22 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.