Championship
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Wolves
Milton Keynes Dons
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Hull
|
17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | +18 | 35 |
| 2 |
Brighton
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 | +9 | 34 |
| 3 |
Middlesbrough
|
17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | +13 | 33 |
| 4 |
Derby
|
17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | +13 | 33 |
| 5 |
Burnley
|
17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | +9 | 33 |
| 6 |
Birmingham
|
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | +6 | 28 |
| 7 |
Ipswich
|
18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 28 |
| 8 |
Reading
|
17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | +7 | 27 |
| 9 |
Sheffield Weds
|
16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | +3 | 26 |
| 10 |
Cardiff
|
17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 25 |
| 11 |
Brentford
|
17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | -1 | 24 |
| 12 |
Fulham
|
17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | +1 | 21 |
| 13 |
Blackburn
|
17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | +1 | 20 |
| 14 |
Wolves
|
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | -1 | 20 |
| 15 |
QPR
|
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | -3 | 20 |
| 16 |
Leeds
|
17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | -4 | 19 |
| 17 |
Preston
|
17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | -3 | 17 |
| 18 |
Nott'm Forest
|
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -5 | 17 |
| 19 |
Bristol City
|
17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | -9 | 16 |
| 20 |
Charlton
|
18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -14 | 16 |
| 21 |
Huddersfield
|
17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -9 | 15 |
| 22 |
Milton Keynes Dons
|
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -9 | 15 |
| 23 |
Rotherham
|
17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | -15 | 12 |
| 24 |
Bolton
|
17 | 1 | 8 | 8 | -13 | 11 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Ipswich
Wolves
Wolves
Burnley
Bristol City
Wolves
Birmingham
Wolves
Wolves
Middlesbrough
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.