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La Liga
Referee: Alfonso Alvarez Izquierdo
Levante
U U T U T
1–0
Full-time
Villarreal
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Levante Villarreal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
0%
83%
Points per game
0,5
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
0,8
2,0
Conceded
2,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+1,3
This season — La Liga · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
0%
83%
Points per game
0,5
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
0,8
2,0
Conceded
2,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%
14 Shots 3
4 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 2
0 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
4 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Levante 20. · Villarreal 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Villarreal 6 5 1 0 +8 16
2 Celta 7 4 3 0 +8 15
3 Barcelona 7 5 0 2 +3 15
4 Real Madrid 6 4 2 0 +13 14
5 Ath Madrid 6 4 0 2 +6 12
6 La Coruna 7 3 3 1 +5 12
7 Eibar 7 3 3 1 +4 12
8 Betis 7 3 2 2 -2 11
9 Valencia 7 2 3 2 -1 9
10 Espanol 7 3 0 4 -9 9
11 Sp Gijon 7 2 2 3 -1 8
12 Sevilla 7 2 2 3 -4 8
13 Ath Bilbao 7 2 1 4 -2 7
14 Getafe 7 2 1 4 -2 7
15 Vallecano 7 2 1 4 -6 7
16 Sociedad 7 1 3 3 -1 6
17 Malaga 7 1 3 3 -1 6
18 Las Palmas 7 1 2 4 -3 5
19 Granada 7 1 1 5 -8 4
20 Levante 6 0 3 3 -7 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Levante Villarreal
4′
🟨 Bojan Jokić
Juanfran 🟨
19′
36′
🟨 Bojan Jokić
36′
🟥 Bojan Jokić
Víctor Camarasa 🔁
↦ Iván López
38′
38′
🔁 Jaume Costa
↦ N. Leiva
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Samu Castillejo
↦ Alfonso Pedraza
José Luis Morales 🟨
50′
58′
🔁 J. dos Santos
↦ Samu
60′
🟨 Jaume Costa
N. Ghilas 🔁
↦ Roger Martí
69′
1–0 Deyverson
N. Ghilas
83′
José Mari 🟨
84′
84′
🟨 Roberto Soldado
Víctor Casadesús 🔁
↦ Deyverson
86′
87′
🟨 Víctor Ruiz
Rubén Martínez 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Levante

13 Rubén G
12 Juanfran D
3 Toño M
24 Z. Feddal D
2 Iván López D
5 Simão Junior
22 José Mari M
11 José Luis Morales M
8 J. Lerma M
14 Roger Martí F
20 Deyverson F
Bench (7)
6 Víctor Camarasa
23 N. Ghilas
18 Víctor Casadesús
4 David Navarro
15 N. Karabelas
17 Xumetra
25 Diego Mariño

Villarreal

13 A. Areola G
3 B. Jokić M
2 Mario Gaspar D
6 Víctor Ruíz D
24 E. Bailly D
4 Tomás Pina M
14 Trigueros M
7 Samu M
28 Alfonso Pedraza M
9 Soldado F
26 N. Leiva M
Bench (7)
11 Jaume Costa
19 Samu Castillejo
8 J. dos Santos
21 Bruno
22 A. Rukavina
23 D. Bonera
25 M. Barbosa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Alfonso Alvarez Izquierdo · 53 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.