Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Hannover
RB Leipzig
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Dortmund
|
19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | +31 | 48 |
| 2 |
Bayern Munich
|
19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | +23 | 42 |
| 3 |
M'gladbach
|
19 | 12 | 3 | 4 | +21 | 39 |
| 4 |
RB Leipzig
|
19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | +17 | 34 |
| 5 |
Ein Frankfurt
|
19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | +13 | 31 |
| 6 |
Hoffenheim
|
19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | +9 | 28 |
| 7 |
Hertha
|
19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | +1 | 28 |
| 8 |
Wolfsburg
|
19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | +1 | 28 |
| 9 |
Leverkusen
|
19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | -1 | 27 |
| 10 |
Mainz
|
19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | -3 | 27 |
| 11 |
Werder Bremen
|
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | +0 | 26 |
| 12 |
Schalke 04
|
19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | -3 | 22 |
| 13 |
Freiburg
|
19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | -8 | 21 |
| 14 |
Fortuna Dusseldorf
|
19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | -17 | 21 |
| 15 |
Augsburg
|
19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -7 | 15 |
| 16 |
Stuttgart
|
19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | -27 | 14 |
| 17 |
Hannover
|
19 | 2 | 5 | 12 | -23 | 11 |
| 18 |
Nurnberg
|
19 | 2 | 5 | 12 | -27 | 11 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
K. Akpoguma
D
W. Anton
D
Coach: T. Doll
P. Gulácsi
G
W. Orban
D
L. Klostermann
D
I. Konaté
D
M. Sabitzer
M
K. Laimer
D
T. Adams
M
Y. Poulsen
F
Matheus Cunha
F
Coach: R. Rangnick
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Dortmund
Hannover
Hannover
Werder Bremen
Hannover
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Freiburg
Hannover
Hannover
Bayern Munich
Daniel Schlager · 32 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.