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Bundesliga
Referee: Daniel Schlager
Hannover
T U T T T
0–3
Full-time
RB Leipzig
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hannover RB Leipzig
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
0,5
1,8
Conceded
2,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,7
+0,5
This season — Bundesliga · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 32%
11%
53%
Points per game
0,6
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
58%
53%
Both score Ø 53%
68%
37%
Average goals
3,1
2,8
Scored
0,9
1,8
Conceded
2,2
0,9
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

45% Possession 55%
5 Shots 19
1 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 6
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
0 Corners 7
2 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 20
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hannover 17. · RB Leipzig 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dortmund 19 15 3 1 +31 48
2 Bayern Munich 19 13 3 3 +23 42
3 M'gladbach 19 12 3 4 +21 39
4 RB Leipzig 19 10 4 5 +17 34
5 Ein Frankfurt 19 9 4 6 +13 31
6 Hoffenheim 19 7 7 5 +9 28
7 Hertha 19 7 7 5 +1 28
8 Wolfsburg 19 8 4 7 +1 28
9 Leverkusen 19 8 3 8 -1 27
10 Mainz 19 7 6 6 -3 27
11 Werder Bremen 19 7 5 7 +0 26
12 Schalke 04 19 6 4 9 -3 22
13 Freiburg 19 5 6 8 -8 21
14 Fortuna Dusseldorf 19 6 3 10 -17 21
15 Augsburg 19 3 6 10 -7 15
16 Stuttgart 19 4 2 13 -27 14
17 Hannover 19 2 5 12 -23 11
18 Nurnberg 19 2 5 12 -27 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hannover RB Leipzig
Pirmin Schwegler 🟨
18′
Jonathas 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–0
B. Wood 🔁
↦ F. Muslija
46′
46′
🔁 Y. Mvogo
↦ P. Gulácsi
48′
M. Halstenberg 0–1
63′
🟨 Ibrahima Konaté
64′
W. Orban 0–2
M. Halstenberg
H. Weydandt 🔁
↦ T. Asano
70′
75′
🟨 Konrad Laimer
81′
🔁 E. Forsberg
↦ Matheus Cunha
85′
W. Orban 0–3
E. Forsberg
87′
🔁 J. Augustin
↦ D. Demme
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Hannover

4-2-3-1
23 M. Esser G
3 M. Albornoz D
4 J. Korb M
14 K. Akpoguma D
31 W. Anton D
27 P. Schwegler M
21 N. Müller M
11 T. Asano F
8 Walace M
35 F. Muslija M
9 Jonathas F
Bench (7)
17 B. Wood
26 H. Weydandt
6 M. Bakalorz
19 S. Sahin-Radlinger
22 M. Ostrzolek
25 O. Sorg
28 K. Wimmer

Coach: T. Doll

RB Leipzig

4-2-2-2
1 P. Gulácsi G
23 M. Halstenberg D
4 W. Orban D
16 L. Klostermann D
6 I. Konaté D
31 D. Demme M
7 M. Sabitzer M
27 K. Laimer D
14 T. Adams M
9 Y. Poulsen F
20 Matheus Cunha F
Bench (7)
28 Y. Mvogo
10 E. Forsberg
29 J. Augustin
3 M. Saracchi
13 S. Ilsanker
17 Bruma
22 N. Mukiele

Coach: R. Rangnick

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Daniel Schlager · 32 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.