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Bundesliga
Referee: Robert Hartmann
Hertha
U T S T U
3–1
Full-time
Hannover
T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hertha Hannover
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,5
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
This season — Bundesliga · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 34%
27%
40%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
40%
47%
Both score Ø 64%
67%
60%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

44% Possession 56%
15 Shots 20
9 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 5
6 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 8
2 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hertha 12. · Hannover 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 15 11 2 2 +24 35
2 RB Leipzig 16 8 4 4 +3 28
3 Hoffenheim 16 7 5 4 +6 26
4 Schalke 04 15 7 5 3 +6 26
5 Dortmund 16 7 4 5 +14 25
6 Ein Frankfurt 16 7 4 5 +2 25
7 M'gladbach 16 7 4 5 -3 25
8 Leverkusen 15 6 6 3 +10 24
9 Augsburg 15 6 5 4 +5 23
10 Hannover 15 6 4 5 +0 22
11 Wolfsburg 16 3 10 3 +1 19
12 Hertha 15 4 6 5 -2 18
13 Freiburg 16 4 6 6 -14 18
14 Stuttgart 16 5 2 9 -7 17
15 Mainz 16 4 4 8 -9 16
16 Hamburg 16 4 3 9 -8 15
17 Werder Bremen 15 3 5 7 -6 14
18 FC Koln 15 0 3 12 -22 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hertha Hannover
1–0 S. Kalou
P. Pekarík
18′
31′
🟨 Oliver Sorg
45′
🟨 Salif Sané
2–0 S. Kalou
K. Rekik
45′
Half-time 2–0
M. Leckie 🔁
↦ M. Weiser
46′
46′
🔁 I. Fossum
↦ O. Sorg
46′
🔁 N. Sarenren-Bazee
↦ F. Klaus
51′
🟨 Noah Joel Sarenren Bazee
J. Torunarigha 🔁
↦ K. Rekik
55′
Mathew Leckie 🟨
62′
65′
I. Bebou 2–1
Marvin Plattenhardt 🟨
73′
S. Langkamp 🔁
↦ A. Maier
81′
3–1 J. Torunarigha
83′
88′
🔁 K. Karaman
↦ M. Bakalorz
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Hertha

4-2-3-1
22 R. Jarstein G
2 P. Pekarík D
21 M. Plattenhardt D
4 K. Rekik D
5 N. Stark D
8 S. Kalou M
28 F. Lustenberger M
23 M. Weiser D
20 V. Lazaro M
26 A. Maier M
27 D. Selke F
Bench (7)
11 M. Leckie
25 J. Torunarigha
15 S. Langkamp
1 T. Kraft
3 P. Skjelbred
7 A. Esswein
19 V. Ibišević

Coach: P. Dárdai

Hannover

4-2-3-1
1 P. Tschauner G
25 O. Sorg D
22 M. Ostrzolek M
4 J. Korb M
31 W. Anton D
6 M. Bakalorz M
11 F. Klaus M
20 S. Sané D
14 M. Harnik F
24 N. Füllkrug F
13 I. Bebou M
Bench (7)
18 I. Fossum
37 N. Sarenren-Bazee
26 K. Karaman
3 Miiko Albornoz
19 F. Hübner
23 M. Esser
35 C. Benschop

Coach: A. Breitenreiter

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Robert Hartmann · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.