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Bundesliga
Referee: Robert Kampka
Schalke 04
U S U U T
3–0
Full-time
Augsburg
S T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Schalke 04 Augsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,5
3,5
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 30%
30%
30%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
39%
43%
Both score Ø 55%
52%
57%
Average goals
2,4
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

66% Possession 34%
25 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 3
10 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 4
0 Offside 2
20 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Schalke 04 13. · Augsburg 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 24 18 5 1 +47 59
2 RB Leipzig 24 15 4 5 +18 49
3 Dortmund 24 12 7 5 +26 43
4 Hoffenheim 24 10 12 2 +20 42
5 Hertha 24 12 4 8 +6 40
6 Ein Frankfurt 24 10 5 9 -1 35
7 FC Koln 24 8 10 6 +6 34
8 Freiburg 24 10 4 10 -10 34
9 M'gladbach 23 9 5 9 -2 32
10 Leverkusen 24 9 4 11 -2 31
11 Mainz 24 8 5 11 -7 29
12 Augsburg 23 7 7 9 -7 28
13 Schalke 04 23 7 6 10 +1 27
14 Wolfsburg 24 7 5 12 -12 26
15 Werder Bremen 24 7 5 12 -13 26
16 Hamburg 23 6 5 12 -23 23
17 FC Ingolstadt 04 24 5 4 15 -18 19
18 Darmstadt 24 4 3 17 -29 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Schalke 04 Augsburg
1–0 G. Burgstaller
4′
2–0 G. Burgstaller
E. Choupo-Moting
29′
Benedikt Höwedes 🟨
31′
3–0 D. Caligiuri
S. Kolašinac
34′
40′
🔁 Dong-Won Ji
↦ R. Bobadilla
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 G. Teigl
↦ J. Schmid
Nabil Bentaleb 🟨
57′
A. Schöpf 🔁
↦ D. Caligiuri
64′
D. Aogo 🔁
↦ S. Kolašinac
77′
77′
🔁 P. Max
↦ Halil Altıntop
Dennis Aogo 🟨
78′
Y. Konoplyanka 🔁
↦ G. Burgstaller
84′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Schalke 04

4-2-3-1
1 R. Fährmann G
4 B. Höwedes D
31 M. Nastasić D
6 S. Kolašinac D
20 T. Kehrer D
18 D. Caligiuri M
5 J. Geis D
7 M. Meyer M
10 N. Bentaleb M
13 E. Choupo-Moting F
19 G. Burgstaller F
Bench (7)
21 A. Schöpf
15 D. Aogo
11 Y. Konoplyanka
17 B. Stambouli
24 H. Badstuber
25 K. Huntelaar
35 A. Nübel

Coach: M. Weinzierl

Augsburg

4-2-3-1
35 M. Hitz G
2 P. Verhaegh D
36 M. Hinteregger D
3 K. Stafylidis D
7 Halil Altıntop M
20 G. Kačar M
11 J. Schmid M
19 Ja-Cheol Koo M
5 M. Leitner M
21 D. Kohr M
25 R. Bobadilla F
Bench (7)
22 Dong-Won Ji
28 G. Teigl
31 P. Max
1 A. Luthe
38 K. Danso
39 T. Usami
40 T. Rieder

Coach: M. Baum

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Robert Kampka · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
30,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,03 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.