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Bundesliga
Referee: Wolfgang Stark
Werder Bremen
T T U S S
1–1
Full-time
FC Koln
T S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Werder Bremen FC Koln
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 36%
29%
43%
Points per game
1,0
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 72%
93%
50%
Both score Ø 68%
86%
50%
Average goals
3,6
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,4
Conceded
2,3
0,9
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

53% Possession 47%
10 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 5
2 Offside 3
17 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Werder Bremen 14. · FC Koln 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 14 10 3 1 +25 33
2 RB Leipzig 14 10 3 1 +17 33
3 Hoffenheim 15 6 9 0 +11 27
4 Hertha 14 8 3 3 +8 27
5 Dortmund 15 7 5 3 +16 26
6 Ein Frankfurt 14 7 5 2 +8 26
7 FC Koln 14 6 5 3 +6 23
8 Leverkusen 14 6 2 6 +0 20
9 Freiburg 14 6 1 7 -7 19
10 Schalke 04 14 5 2 7 +2 17
11 Mainz 14 5 2 7 -3 17
12 M'gladbach 14 4 4 6 -8 16
13 Augsburg 14 3 5 6 -5 14
14 Werder Bremen 14 4 2 8 -14 14
15 Wolfsburg 14 2 4 8 -11 10
16 Hamburg 14 2 4 8 -16 10
17 FC Ingolstadt 04 14 2 3 9 -13 9
18 Darmstadt 14 2 2 10 -16 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Werder Bremen FC Koln
25′
🟨 Anthony Modeste
28′
A. Rudņevs 0–1
1–1 S. Gnabry
C. Fritz
40′
Half-time 1–1
Z. Junuzović 🔁
↦ C. Fritz
46′
A. Jóhannsson 🔁
↦ C. Pizarro
75′
81′
🔁 S. Zoller
↦ A. Rudņevs
81′
🔁 S. Guirassy
↦ A. Modeste
85′
🟨 Sehrou Guirassy
Arón Johannssón 🟨
87′
89′
🟨 Marco Höger
90′
🟨 Jonas Hector
T. Gebre Selassie 🔁
↦ F. Bartels
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Werder Bremen

4-4-2
33 J. Drobný G
18 N. Moisander D
26 L. Sané D
2 S. García D
4 R. Bauer D
8 C. Fritz M
22 F. Bartels F
44 P. Bargfrede M
29 S. Gnabry M
14 C. Pizarro F
10 M. Kruse F
Bench (7)
16 Z. Junuzović
9 A. Jóhannsson
23 T. Gebre Selassie
7 F. Kainz
13 M. Veljkovic
39 L. Fröde
42 F. Wiedwald

Coach: A. Nouri

FC Koln

3-4-1-2
18 T. Kessler G
15 M. Mavraj D
34 K. Rausch D
16 P. Olkowski D
14 J. Hector M
4 F. Sørensen D
3 D. Heintz D
6 M. Höger M
27 A. Modeste F
9 A. Rudņevs F
13 Y. Ōsako F
Bench (7)
11 S. Zoller
19 S. Guirassy
8 M. Jojić
24 L. Klünter
25 F. Mladenović
30 M. Hartel
35 S. Müller

Coach: P. Stöger

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Wolfgang Stark · 35 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
13,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.