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Bundesliga
Referee: Tobias Stieler
Leverkusen
T T T S S
1–1
Full-time
Augsburg
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leverkusen Augsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,7
This season — Bundesliga · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 36%
57%
14%
Points per game
1,7
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
57%
43%
Both score Ø 36%
14%
57%
Average goals
2,1
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,1
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

64% Possession 36%
22 Shots 2
8 Shots on target 0
5 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 7
9 Corners 1
2 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leverkusen 9. · Augsburg 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 7 7 0 0 +20 21
2 Dortmund 7 5 2 0 +15 17
3 Schalke 04 8 5 1 2 +2 16
4 Hertha 8 4 2 2 +3 14
5 FC Koln 8 4 2 2 +1 14
6 FC Ingolstadt 04 8 4 2 2 +0 14
7 Mainz 8 4 0 4 +1 12
8 Wolfsburg 8 3 3 2 +0 12
9 Leverkusen 7 4 0 3 -1 12
10 Darmstadt 8 2 4 2 -2 10
11 Hamburg 8 3 1 4 -5 10
12 Ein Frankfurt 8 2 3 3 +2 9
13 M'gladbach 8 3 0 5 -4 9
14 Werder Bremen 8 2 1 5 -6 7
15 Hoffenheim 8 1 3 4 -4 6
16 Hannover 8 1 2 5 -9 5
17 Augsburg 7 1 1 5 -5 4
18 Stuttgart 8 1 1 6 -8 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leverkusen Augsburg
12′
B. Leno 1–0
own goal
2–0 K. Bellarabi
39′
Half-time 2–0
53′
🟨 Jan-Ingwer Callsen-Bracker
63′
🔁 T. Matavž
↦ R. Bobadilla
68′
🟨 Daniel Baier
68′
🔁 Jeong-Ho Hong
↦ D. Baier
Wendell 🟨
69′
Giulio Donati 🟨
72′
A. Mehmedi 🔁
↦ H. Çalhanoğlu
75′
S. Kießling 🔁
↦ J. Hernández
75′
J. Brandt 🔁
↦ K. Bellarabi
78′
81′
🔁 M. Feulner
↦ A. Esswein
90′
🟨 Marwin Hitz
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Leverkusen

1 B. Leno G
5 K. Papadopoulos D
26 G. Donati D
18 Wendell D
4 J. Tah D
8 L. Bender M
38 K. Bellarabi M
44 K. Kampl M
23 C. Kramer M
7 J. Hernández F
10 H. Çalhanoğlu F
Bench (7)
14 A. Mehmedi
11 S. Kießling
19 J. Brandt
2 André Ramalho
25 D. Kresic
37 M. Frey
17 S. Boenisch

Augsburg

35 M. Hitz G
18 J. Callsen-Bracker D
2 P. Verhaegh D
5 R. Klavan D
3 K. Stafylidis D
7 Halil Altıntop M
10 D. Baier M
11 A. Esswein M
19 Ja-Cheol Koo M
21 D. Kohr M
25 R. Bobadilla F
Bench (7)
23 T. Matavž
20 Jeong-Ho Hong
8 M. Feulner
22 Dong-Won Ji
15 P. Trochowski
31 P. Max
1 A. Manninger

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tobias Stieler · 91 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.