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Bundesliga
Referee: Guido Winkmann
Hoffenheim
T T U S T
2–1
Full-time
Augsburg
U T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hoffenheim Augsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,3
This season — Bundesliga · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 20%
13%
26%
Points per game
0,8
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
43%
48%
Both score Ø 57%
61%
52%
Average goals
2,6
2,6
Scored
1,0
1,1
Conceded
1,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

50% Possession 50%
14 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 6
2 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hoffenheim 17. · Augsburg 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 23 20 2 1 +47 62
2 Dortmund 23 17 3 3 +32 54
3 Hertha 23 11 6 6 +7 39
4 M'gladbach 23 11 3 9 +5 36
5 Mainz 23 11 3 9 +3 36
6 Leverkusen 23 10 5 8 +6 35
7 Schalke 04 23 10 5 8 +2 35
8 Wolfsburg 24 9 7 8 +5 34
9 FC Ingolstadt 04 24 8 7 9 -7 31
10 FC Koln 24 7 9 8 -5 30
11 Hamburg 23 7 7 9 -5 28
12 Stuttgart 23 8 4 11 -9 28
13 Augsburg 23 6 7 10 -7 25
14 Darmstadt 23 6 7 10 -11 25
15 Ein Frankfurt 23 5 8 10 -10 23
16 Werder Bremen 23 5 6 12 -19 21
17 Hoffenheim 23 3 9 11 -13 18
18 Hannover 24 5 2 17 -21 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

26. Sep -15 Augsburg – Hoffenheim 1–3

Match report

Hoffenheim Augsburg
22′
🟨 Caiuby
1–0 K. Volland
P. Ochs
25′
34′
🟨 Paul Verhaegh
Niklas Süle 🟨
39′
40′
P. Verhaegh 1–1
Half-time 1–1
E. Bičakčić 🔁
↦ P. Schwegler
46′
61′
🔁 R. Bobadilla
↦ A. Finnbogason
Kevin Volland 🟨
62′
62′
🟨 Marwin Hitz
A. Kramarić 🔁
↦ E. Vargas
71′
J. Toljan 🔁
↦ P. Ochs
73′
77′
🔁 C. Janker
↦ Ja-Cheol Koo
2–1 M. Uth
A. Kramarić
81′
84′
🔁 T. Werner
↦ Halil Altıntop
90′
🟨 Ragnar Klavan
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Hoffenheim

1 O. Baumann G
5 F. Schär D
3 P. Kaderábek M
25 N. Süle D
8 E. Polanski M
16 P. Schwegler M
9 E. Vargas F
18 N. Amiri M
31 K. Volland F
19 M. Uth F
30 P. Ochs M
Bench (7)
4 E. Bičakčić
27 A. Kramarić
15 J. Toljan
10 J. Schmid
11 J. Hamad
13 J. Grahl
17 S. Zuber

Augsburg

35 M. Hitz G
2 P. Verhaegh D
5 R. Klavan D
3 K. Stafylidis D
6 J. Gouweleeuw D
7 Halil Altıntop M
30 Caiuby M
11 A. Esswein M
19 Ja-Cheol Koo M
21 D. Kohr M
27 A. Finnbogason F
Bench (7)
25 R. Bobadilla
16 C. Janker
13 T. Werner
1 A. Manninger
17 Albian Ajeti
20 Jeong-Ho Hong
31 P. Max

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Guido Winkmann · 50 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.