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Championship

Referee: Martin Atkinson

Reading

S T S S U

1–0

Full-time

Fulham

S S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Reading Fulham

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,2

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 92%

83%

100%

Average goals

3,5

3,3

Scored

2,2

2,3

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+1,3

This season — Championship · 44/45 matches

Win Ø 52%

57%

47%

Points per game

1,9

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

59%

56%

Both score Ø 63%

57%

69%

Average goals

2,9

3,1

Scored

1,5

1,8

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

40% Possession 60%

12 Shots 19

7 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 5

6 Goalkeeper saves 6

3 Corners 16

3 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Reading 3. · Fulham 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Newcastle	46	29	7	10	+45	94
2	Brighton	46	28	9	9	+34	93
3	Reading	44	25	8	11	+9	83
4	Huddersfield	44	24	7	13	+0	79
5	Fulham	45	21	15	9	+24	78
6	Sheffield Weds	45	22	10	13	+12	76
7	Leeds	46	22	9	15	+14	75
8	Norwich	46	20	10	16	+16	70
9	Derby	46	18	13	15	+4	67
10	Brentford	46	18	10	18	+10	64
11	Preston	46	16	14	16	+1	62
12	Cardiff	46	17	11	18	-1	62
13	Aston Villa	46	16	14	16	-1	62
14	Barnsley	46	15	13	18	-3	58
15	Wolves	46	16	10	20	-4	58
16	Ipswich	46	13	16	17	-10	55
17	Bristol City	46	15	9	22	-6	54
18	QPR	46	15	8	23	-14	53
19	Birmingham	46	13	14	19	-19	53
20	Burton Albion	46	13	13	20	-14	52
21	Nott'm Forest	46	14	9	23	-10	51
22	Blackburn	46	12	15	19	-12	51
23	Wigan	46	10	12	24	-17	42
24	Rotherham	46	5	8	33	-58	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brighton	23	17	3	3	+32	54
2	Reading	22	15	5	2	+18	50
3	Norwich	23	15	4	4	+33	49
4	Newcastle	23	15	3	5	+26	48
5	Leeds	23	14	4	5	+16	46
6	Huddersfield	22	14	3	5	+8	45
7	Aston Villa	23	12	8	3	+13	44
8	Sheffield Weds	22	14	2	6	+12	44
9	Derby	23	11	8	4	+13	41
10	Nott'm Forest	23	12	4	7	+12	40
11	Preston	23	11	6	6	+14	39
12	Brentford	23	11	5	7	+17	38
13	Bristol City	23	11	4	8	+7	37
14	Cardiff	23	11	4	8	+5	37
15	Fulham	23	9	9	5	+8	36
16	Ipswich	23	8	10	5	+6	34
17	Blackburn	23	8	8	7	-1	32
18	QPR	23	9	4	10	-2	31
19	Burton Albion	23	9	4	10	-2	31
20	Barnsley	23	6	11	6	-1	29
21	Birmingham	23	8	5	10	-6	29
22	Wolves	23	8	4	11	-5	28
23	Wigan	23	5	8	10	-7	23
24	Rotherham	23	5	6	12	-11	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Newcastle	23	14	4	5	+19	46
2	Fulham	22	12	6	4	+16	42
3	Brighton	23	11	6	6	+2	39
4	Huddersfield	22	10	4	8	-8	34
5	Reading	22	10	3	9	-9	33
6	Sheffield Weds	23	8	8	7	+0	32
7	Wolves	23	8	6	9	+1	30
8	Barnsley	23	9	2	12	-2	29
9	Leeds	23	8	5	10	-2	29
10	Brentford	23	7	5	11	-7	26
11	Derby	23	7	5	11	-9	26
12	Cardiff	23	6	7	10	-6	25
13	Birmingham	23	5	9	9	-13	24
14	Preston	23	5	8	10	-13	23
15	QPR	23	6	4	13	-12	22
16	Burton Albion	23	4	9	10	-12	21
17	Ipswich	23	5	6	12	-16	21
18	Norwich	23	5	6	12	-17	21
19	Wigan	23	5	4	14	-10	19
20	Blackburn	23	4	7	12	-11	19
21	Aston Villa	23	4	6	13	-14	18
22	Bristol City	23	4	5	14	-13	17
23	Nott'm Forest	23	2	5	16	-22	11
24	Rotherham	23	0	2	21	-47	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.