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Championship
Referee: Graham Scott
0–2
Full-time
Hull
U S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Milton Keynes Dons Hull
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,0
This season — Championship · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 39%
23%
54%
Points per game
0,8
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
46%
23%
Both score Ø 42%
38%
46%
Average goals
2,4
2,1
Scored
0,9
1,5
Conceded
1,5
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%
7 Shots 8
1 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 1
3 Offside 6
0 Free kicks against 0
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Milton Keynes Dons 21. · Hull 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brighton 13 8 5 0 +8 29
2 Hull 13 7 4 2 +11 25
3 Burnley 13 7 4 2 +6 25
4 Middlesbrough 13 7 3 3 +11 24
5 Derby 13 6 6 1 +8 24
6 Birmingham 14 7 3 4 +4 24
7 Reading 13 6 4 3 +8 22
8 Cardiff 13 5 6 2 +4 21
9 Sheffield Weds 13 5 5 3 +2 20
10 Brentford 14 6 2 6 +0 20
11 QPR 14 5 4 5 -1 19
12 Wolves 14 5 3 6 +0 18
13 Fulham 13 4 5 4 +3 17
14 Ipswich 13 4 5 4 -5 17
15 Blackburn 14 3 6 5 +0 15
16 Huddersfield 13 3 5 5 -3 14
17 Nott'm Forest 13 3 5 5 -3 14
18 Leeds 14 2 7 5 -7 13
19 Preston 13 2 6 5 -3 12
20 Bristol City 13 2 5 6 -7 11
21 Milton Keynes Dons 13 3 2 8 -7 11
22 Charlton 13 2 4 7 -10 10
23 Rotherham 13 2 3 8 -9 9
24 Bolton 13 1 6 6 -10 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Line-ups

Milton Keynes Dons

1 David Martin
5 K. McFadzean D
3 D. Lewington D
12 J. Spence D
8 D. Potter M
6 A. Kay D
7 C. Baker M
39 D. Poyet M
9 D. Bowditch M
11 S. Church F
31 Josh Murphy M
Bench (7)
17 D. Powell
28 N. Maynard
14 S. Carruthers
2 L. Hodson
13 S. Gallagher
20 G. Rasulo
22 C. Cropper

Hull

1 A. McGregor G
21 M. Dawson D
4 A. Bruce D
26 A. Robertson D
27 Ahmed El Mohamady D
7 D. Meyler M
14 J. Livermore M
11 S. Clucas M
2 M. Odubajo D
9 A. Hernández F
19 C. Akpom F
Bench (7)
17 M. Diamé
15 S. Maloney
5 R. Taylor
8 T. Huddlestone
12 H. Maguire
16 E. Jakupovic
20 I. Hayden

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Graham Scott · 99 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.