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Eliteserien
Referee: Svein Oddvar Moen
Rosenborg
T U T U T
1–0
Full-time
Sarpsborg 08
U U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rosenborg Sarpsborg 08
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,2
1,8
Scored
0,5
1,2
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,5
This season — Eliteserien · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 10%
0%
20%
Points per game
0,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 20%
40%
0%
Both score Ø 60%
40%
80%
Average goals
2,2
1,8
Scored
0,4
1,0
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,4
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%
12 Shots 18
5 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 7
7 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 9
3 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rosenborg 16. · Sarpsborg 08 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 7 5 1 1 +11 16
2 Bodo/Glimt 6 4 1 1 +6 13
3 Odd 6 4 1 1 +4 13
4 Valerenga 6 3 1 2 +1 10
5 Kristiansund 7 3 1 3 -1 10
6 Viking 5 3 0 2 +1 9
7 Mjondalen 6 2 2 2 -1 8
8 Brann 7 2 2 3 -1 8
9 Haugesund 6 2 1 3 +2 7
10 Sarpsborg 08 5 1 4 0 +1 7
11 Ranheim 6 2 1 3 +0 7
12 Stabaek 6 2 1 3 -3 7
13 Lillestrom 6 2 1 3 -5 7
14 Stromsgodset 6 1 2 3 -2 5
15 Tromso 6 1 1 4 -6 4
16 Rosenborg 5 0 2 3 -7 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rosenborg Sarpsborg 08
16′
🔁 Sheldon Bateau
↦ Jørgen Horn
Anders Trondsen 🟨
26′
1–0 Mike Jensen
Gustav Valsvik
39′
Half-time 1–0
Marius Lundemo 🔁
↦ Anders Trondsen
46′
Alexander Søderlund 🔁
↦ Erik Botheim
57′
62′
🔁 Lars-Jørgen Salvesen
↦ Jörgen Strand Larsen
74′
🟨 Ole Jørgen Halvorsen
Emil Konradsen Ceide 🔁
↦ Anders Konradsen
79′
81′
🔁 Wílmer Azofeifa
↦ Kristoffer Larsen
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Rosenborg

4-3-3
1 André Hansen G
2 Vegar Eggen Hedenstad D
4 Tore Reginiussen D
16 Even Hovland D
19 Gustav Valsvik D
7 Mike Jensen M
15 Anders Trondsen M
8 Anders Konradsen M
11 Yann-Erik de Lanlay F
34 Erik Botheim F
3 Birger Meling D
Bench (7)
24 Arild Østbø
37 Mikael Törset Johnsen
25 Marius Lundemo
28 Samuel Adegbenro
9 Nicklas Bendtner
35 Emil Konradsen Ceide
14 Alexander Søderlund

Coach: E. Horneland

Sarpsborg 08

3-1-4-2
78 Aleksander Vasyutin G
11 Jonathan Lindseth M
3 Jørgen Horn D
6 Nicolai Naess D
8 Matti Lund Nielsen M
7 Ole Jørgen Halvorsen M
19 Kristoffer Larsen M
17 Kristoffer Zachariassen M
16 Joachim Thomassen D
45 Jörgen Strand Larsen F
10 Steffen Skalevik F
Bench (7)
31 Aslak Falch
44 Sheldon Bateau
14 Wílmer Azofeifa
28 Alexander Ruud Tveter
26 Ismaila Cheick Coulibaly
88 Lars-Jørgen Salvesen
24 Anwar Elyounoussi

Coach: G. Bakke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Svein Oddvar Moen · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.