Championship
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Stoke
Sheffield United
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Norwich
|
45 | 26 | 13 | 6 | +35 | 91 |
| 2 |
Sheffield United
|
45 | 26 | 10 | 9 | +37 | 88 |
| 3 |
Leeds
|
43 | 23 | 8 | 12 | +19 | 77 |
| 4 |
West Brom
|
43 | 22 | 10 | 11 | +25 | 76 |
| 5 |
Aston Villa
|
42 | 19 | 15 | 8 | +20 | 72 |
| 6 |
Derby
|
42 | 19 | 14 | 9 | +22 | 71 |
| 7 |
Middlesbrough
|
45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | +7 | 70 |
| 8 |
Bristol City
|
45 | 19 | 12 | 14 | +6 | 69 |
| 9 |
Swansea
|
45 | 18 | 10 | 17 | +3 | 64 |
| 10 |
Sheffield Weds
|
45 | 16 | 16 | 13 | -1 | 64 |
| 11 |
Nott'm Forest
|
45 | 16 | 15 | 14 | +6 | 63 |
| 12 |
Brentford
|
45 | 16 | 13 | 16 | +11 | 61 |
| 13 |
Preston
|
45 | 16 | 13 | 16 | +3 | 61 |
| 14 |
Hull
|
45 | 17 | 10 | 18 | -2 | 61 |
| 15 |
Birmingham
|
45 | 14 | 18 | 13 | +6 | 60 |
| 16 |
Blackburn
|
45 | 16 | 11 | 18 | -5 | 59 |
| 17 |
Stoke
|
45 | 11 | 21 | 13 | -7 | 54 |
| 18 |
Wigan
|
45 | 12 | 13 | 20 | -14 | 49 |
| 19 |
QPR
|
45 | 13 | 9 | 23 | -19 | 48 |
| 20 |
Reading
|
45 | 10 | 16 | 19 | -17 | 46 |
| 21 |
Millwall
|
45 | 10 | 14 | 21 | -15 | 44 |
| 22 |
Rotherham
|
45 | 8 | 16 | 21 | -30 | 40 |
| 23 |
Bolton
|
45 | 8 | 8 | 29 | -48 | 32 |
| 24 |
Ipswich
|
45 | 4 | 16 | 25 | -42 | 28 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
D. Batth
D
B. Martins Indi
D
O. Etebo
M
Coach: N. Jones
D. Henderson
G
J. Egan
D
Coach: C. Wilder
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Millwall
Stoke
Stoke
Norwich
Middlesbrough
Stoke
Stoke
Rotherham
Swansea
Stoke
Geoff Eltringham · 87 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.