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Premier League

Referee: Paul Tierney

Bournemouth

T S T S T

1–0

Full-time

Leicester

T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bournemouth Leicester

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

3,7

3,5

Scored

1,5

1,7

Conceded

2,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,2

This season — Premier League · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 30%

33%

27%

Points per game

1,2

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

53%

80%

Both score Ø 63%

53%

73%

Average goals

3,1

Scored

1,4

Conceded

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

62% Possession 38%

9 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 11

4 Offside 2

5 Free kicks against 15

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bournemouth 12. · Leicester 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Chelsea	15	12	1	2	+22	37
2	Arsenal	15	10	4	1	+21	34
3	Liverpool	15	9	4	2	+17	31
4	Man City	15	9	3	3	+13	30
5	Tottenham	15	7	6	2	+13	27
6	Man United	15	6	6	3	+4	24
7	Watford	15	6	3	6	-5	21
8	West Brom	15	5	5	5	+2	20
9	Everton	15	5	5	5	+0	20
10	Southampton	15	5	5	5	-1	20
11	Stoke	15	5	4	6	-5	19
12	Bournemouth	15	5	3	7	-4	18
13	Burnley	15	5	2	8	-10	17
14	Leicester	15	4	4	7	-5	16
15	Crystal Palace	15	4	3	8	-2	15
16	Middlesbrough	15	3	6	6	-3	15
17	West Ham	15	3	4	8	-14	13
18	Swansea	15	3	3	9	-12	12
19	Hull	15	3	3	9	-18	12
20	Sunderland	15	3	2	10	-13	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Chelsea	8	7	0	1	+17	21
2	Liverpool	7	5	2	0	+15	17
3	Tottenham	7	5	2	0	+10	17
4	Arsenal	8	5	2	1	+8	17
5	Burnley	9	5	1	3	+4	16
6	Leicester	8	4	3	1	+7	15
7	Southampton	8	4	3	1	+3	15
8	Bournemouth	7	4	1	2	+5	13
9	Man United	8	3	4	1	+5	13
10	Everton	7	3	4	0	+5	13
11	Watford	8	4	1	3	+1	13
12	Man City	7	3	3	1	+5	12
13	West Brom	7	3	2	2	+3	11
14	Stoke	7	3	1	3	-2	10
15	Swansea	8	2	2	4	-3	8
16	Hull	8	2	2	4	-6	8
17	West Ham	7	2	2	3	-7	8
18	Crystal Palace	7	2	1	4	+1	7
19	Middlesbrough	7	2	1	4	-1	7
20	Sunderland	7	2	1	4	-4	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	8	6	0	2	+8	18
2	Arsenal	7	5	2	0	+13	17
3	Chelsea	7	5	1	1	+5	16
4	Liverpool	8	4	2	2	+2	14
5	Man United	7	3	2	2	-1	11
6	Tottenham	8	2	4	2	+3	10
7	West Brom	8	2	3	3	-1	9
8	Stoke	8	2	3	3	-3	9
9	Middlesbrough	8	1	5	2	-2	8
10	Crystal Palace	8	2	2	4	-3	8
11	Watford	7	2	2	3	-6	8
12	Everton	8	2	1	5	-5	7
13	Southampton	7	1	2	4	-4	5
14	West Ham	8	1	2	5	-7	5
15	Bournemouth	8	1	2	5	-9	5
16	Swansea	7	1	1	5	-9	4
17	Sunderland	8	1	1	6	-9	4
18	Hull	7	1	1	5	-12	4
19	Leicester	7	0	1	6	-12	1
20	Burnley	6	0	1	5	-14	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.