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OBOS-ligaen
Raufoss
S T S S T
2–1
Full-time
Aalesund
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Raufoss Aalesund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
4,8
2,7
Scored
2,2
2,2
Conceded
2,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,7
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 69%
55%
82%
Points per game
1,7
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
64%
45%
Both score Ø 55%
64%
45%
Average goals
3,8
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,9
Conceded
2,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Raufoss 6. · Aalesund 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Aalesund 11 9 2 0 +15 29
2 Sandefjord 12 8 3 1 +8 27
3 Kongsvinger 11 6 3 2 +5 21
4 KFUM Oslo 11 6 2 3 +8 20
5 Start 11 6 1 4 +2 19
6 Raufoss 11 6 1 4 -2 19
7 Ull/Kisa 12 5 2 5 +10 17
8 Jerv 11 3 6 2 +0 15
9 Sogndal 10 4 2 4 +2 14
10 Sandnes ULF 11 3 5 3 +2 14
11 Ham-Kam 11 3 4 4 -1 13
12 Nest-Sotra 11 3 3 5 +0 12
13 Skeid 11 2 4 5 -3 10
14 Notodden 12 2 1 9 -11 7
15 Strommen 11 0 5 6 -10 5
16 Tromsdalen Uil 11 0 2 9 -25 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Raufoss Aalesund
21′
T. Agdestein 0–1
1–1 O. Løken
39′
Half-time 1–1
51′
🟨 D. Gretarsson
51′
🔁 S. Fet
↦ P. Larsen
K. Nesso 🟨
67′
69′
🟨 S. Fet
78′
🔁 D. Ólafsson
↦ J. Meade
Ikhsan Fandi 🔁
↦ A. Henningsson
81′
86′
🔁 S. Sæthre
↦ T. Agdestein
2–1 Ikhsan Fandi
87′
M. Heiberg 🔁
↦ O. Løken
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Raufoss

1 O. Lauvli
4 S. Simenstad
2 E. Race
5 M. Alm
19 P. Bizoza
22 K. Nesso
10 R. Doghman
17 S. Owusu
9 A. Henningsson
11 M. Maigaard
14 O. Løken
Bench (7)
18 Ikhsan Fandi
15 M. Heiberg
8 M. Moldskred
13 H. Fløgum
16 S. Giæver
21 T. Dabove
23 R. Johnsen

Coach: C. Johnsen

Aalesund

1 A. Lie
5 O. Lie
6 K. Ramsteijn
3 D. Grétarsson
19 J. Meade
16 J. Hatlehol
21 P. Larsen
30 I. Uzochukwu
11 A. Þrándarson
10 H. Fridjonsson
23 T. Agdestein
Bench (7)
17 S. Fet
18 D. Ólafsson
15 S. Sæthre
4 J. Grønner
7 Nenass
9 N. Castro
13 T. Omenås

Coach: L. Bohinen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.