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OBOS-ligaen
Sogndal
S T U T S
1–3
Full-time
Raufoss
S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sogndal Raufoss
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,7
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 3/4 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Sogndal 10. · Raufoss 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Aalesund 5 4 1 0 +5 13
2 Sandefjord 5 2 3 0 +3 9
3 Ull/Kisa 4 2 1 1 +9 7
4 Kongsvinger 4 2 1 1 +2 7
5 Start 5 2 1 2 -1 7
6 Sandnes ULF 4 1 3 0 +2 6
7 Raufoss 4 2 0 2 -1 6
8 Jerv 3 1 2 0 +2 5
9 Skeid 4 1 2 1 -1 5
10 Sogndal 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 Nest-Sotra 4 1 1 2 +0 4
12 KFUM Oslo 4 1 1 2 -1 4
13 Strommen 4 0 3 1 -1 3
14 Ham-Kam 3 1 0 2 -2 3
15 Notodden 5 0 1 4 -7 1
16 Tromsdalen Uil 3 0 1 2 -9 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sogndal Raufoss
37′
M. Moldskred 0–1
43′
S. Nilsen 0–2
Half-time 0–2
O. Sveen 🔁
↦ S. Ernemann
46′
A. Ndour 🔁
↦ A. Adams
46′
64′
🔁 Ikhsan Fandi
↦ A. Henningsson
U. Flo 🔁
↦ M. Ramsland
66′
73′
M. Maigaard 0–3
82′
🔁 E. Race
↦ M. Moldskred
1–3 A. Ndour
89′
90′
🔁 M. Heiberg
↦ K. Nesso
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Sogndal

1 M. Dyngeland
14 O. Rindarøy
3 P. Steiring
5 U. Fredriksen
2 T. Totland
6 S. Ernemann
8 E. Birkelund
7 E. Schulze
11 M. Ramsland
18 S. Haugen
10 A. Adams
Bench (7)
19 O. Sveen
25 A. Ndour
9 U. Flo
15 J. Soltvedt
22 E. Helgesen
23 S. Mannsverk
37 H. Hetle

Coach: E. Bakke

Raufoss

1 O. Lauvli
4 S. Simenstad
19 P. Bizoza
7 E. Dadjo
22 K. Nesso
6 S. Nilsen
10 R. Doghman
17 S. Owusu
8 M. Moldskred
9 A. Henningsson
11 M. Maigaard
Bench (6)
18 Ikhsan Fandi
2 E. Race
15 M. Heiberg
16 S. Giæver
20 G. Simenstad
23 R. Johnsen

Coach: C. Johnsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.