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Serie A
Referee: Riccardo Ros
Chievo
T T T S U
0–4
Full-time
Spal
S T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chievo Spal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
0,7
1,7
Conceded
2,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,8
+0,7
This season — Serie A · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 18%
6%
29%
Points per game
0,5
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
53%
47%
Both score Ø 52%
50%
53%
Average goals
2,8
2,4
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

48% Possession 52%
11 Shots 19
3 Shots on target 8
3 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
1 Corners 5
13 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Chievo 20. · Spal 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 35 28 5 2 +44 89
2 Napoli 34 21 7 6 +34 70
3 Inter 34 18 8 8 +24 62
4 Atalanta 34 17 8 9 +26 59
5 Roma 34 16 10 8 +15 58
6 Torino 35 14 15 6 +15 57
7 Milan 34 15 11 8 +14 56
8 Lazio 34 16 7 11 +13 55
9 Sampdoria 34 14 6 14 +8 48
10 Sassuolo 34 9 14 11 -4 41
11 Fiorentina 34 8 16 10 +5 40
12 Cagliari 34 10 10 14 -15 40
13 Spal 34 10 9 15 -13 39
14 Bologna 34 9 10 15 -11 37
15 Parma 34 9 10 15 -17 37
16 Genoa 34 8 11 15 -17 35
17 Udinese 34 8 9 17 -18 33
18 Empoli 34 7 8 19 -23 29
19 Frosinone 34 5 8 21 -36 23
20 Chievo 34 2 12 20 -44 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Chievo Spal
8′
Felipe 0–1
A. Murgia
Fabio Depaoli 🟨
18′
I. Karamoko 🔁
↦ F. Depaoli
31′
Half-time 0–1
A. Dioussé 🔁
↦ P. Hetemaj
46′
47′
S. Floccari 0–2
J. Kurtič
55′
Felipe 0–3
A. Murgia
Riccardo Meggiorini 🟨
57′
Assane Dioussé 🟨
60′
68′
🔁 P. Schiattarella
↦ S. Missiroli
M. Stępiński 🔁
↦ Emanuel Vignato
73′
75′
🔁 M. Antenucci
↦ S. Floccari
81′
J. Kurtič 0–4
P. Schiattarella
85′
🔁 G. Poluzzi
↦ E. Viviano
Full-time 0–4

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.