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Premier League
Referee: Jonathan Moss
Wolves
S T U S S
1–0
Full-time
Fulham
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolves Fulham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
This season — Premier League · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 31%
42%
19%
Points per game
1,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
39%
56%
Both score Ø 53%
53%
53%
Average goals
2,5
3,1
Scored
1,3
0,9
Conceded
1,2
2,1
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

39% Possession 61%
19 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 1
1 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wolves 7. · Fulham 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 36 30 2 4 +68 92
2 Liverpool 36 28 7 1 +64 91
3 Tottenham 37 23 1 13 +28 70
4 Chelsea 36 20 8 8 +21 68
5 Arsenal 36 20 6 10 +20 66
6 Man United 36 19 8 9 +13 65
7 Wolves 36 15 9 12 +2 54
8 Everton 37 15 8 14 +8 53
9 Leicester 36 15 6 15 +4 51
10 Watford 36 14 8 14 -1 50
11 West Ham 36 13 7 16 -9 46
12 Bournemouth 37 13 6 18 -12 45
13 Crystal Palace 36 12 7 17 -5 43
14 Newcastle 36 11 9 16 -9 42
15 Burnley 37 11 7 19 -21 40
16 Southampton 36 9 11 16 -17 38
17 Brighton 36 9 8 19 -22 35
18 Cardiff 36 9 4 23 -36 31
19 Fulham 36 7 5 24 -42 26
20 Huddersfield 36 3 5 28 -54 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wolves Fulham
Diogo Jota 🟨
7′
22′
🟨 Calum Chambers
32′
🟨 Maxime Le Marchand
Half-time 0–0
73′
🟨 Cyrus Christie
1–0 L. Dendoncker
M. Doherty
75′
82′
🔁 F. Ayité
↦ R. Sessegnon
88′
🔁 H. Elliot
↦ A. Zambo Anguissa
M. Kilman 🔁
↦ W. Boly
93′
W. Norris 🔁
↦ Rui Patrício
93′
Rúben Vinagre 🔁
↦ Jonny Castro
94′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Wolves

3-5-2
11 Rui Patrício G
5 R. Bennett D
15 W. Boly D
2 M. Doherty M
16 C. Coady D
19 Jonny Castro M
28 João Moutinho M
32 L. Dendoncker M
8 Rúben Neves M
18 Diogo Jota F
9 R. Jiménez F
Bench (7)
49 M. Kilman
31 W. Norris
29 Rúben Vinagre
10 Hélder Costa
17 M. Gibbs-White
37 Adama Traoré
7 Ivan Cavaleiro

Coach: Nuno Espírito Santo

Fulham

5-3-2
25 Sergio Rico G
20 M. Le Marchand D
13 T. Ream D
22 C. Christie D
23 J. Bryan D
5 C. Chambers M
10 T. Cairney M
29 A. Zambo Anguissa M
3 R. Sessegnon D
12 R. Babel F
9 A. Mitrović F
Bench (7)
11 F. Ayité
56 H. Elliot
16 H. Nordtveit
31 Fabri
43 S. Sessegnon
7 N. Kebano
26 A. Mawson

Coach: S. Parker

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jonathan Moss · 145 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.