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Allsvenskan
Sirius
S T T U T
2–4
Full-time
Goteborg
S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sirius Goteborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,8
This season — Allsvenskan · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Sirius 11. · Goteborg 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Djurgarden 6 3 2 1 +4 11
2 Malmo FF 6 3 2 1 +4 11
3 Elfsborg 6 3 2 1 +3 11
4 Ostersunds 6 3 2 1 +3 11
5 AIK 7 3 2 2 -1 11
6 Goteborg 6 3 1 2 +5 10
7 Hacken 6 3 1 2 +5 10
8 Sundsvall 6 2 2 2 +1 8
9 Hammarby 6 2 2 2 -1 8
10 Norrkoping 6 1 4 1 -1 7
11 Sirius 6 2 1 3 -1 7
12 Kalmar 6 1 4 1 -1 7
13 Helsingborg 6 2 1 3 -3 7
14 Orebro 6 1 2 3 -5 5
15 AFC Eskilstuna 7 1 1 5 -6 4
16 Falkenbergs 6 1 1 4 -6 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.