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Conference League
Referee: Iwan Griffith
HJK Helsinki
U T T S U
2–2
Full-time
Arda Kardzhali
U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

HJK Helsinki Arda Kardzhali
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/1 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 9%
17%
0%
Average goals
2,5
0,0
Scored
1,2
0,0
Conceded
1,3
0,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 3/1 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
3,0
0,0
Scored
1,7
0,0
Conceded
1,3
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Recent head-to-head meetings

24. Jul -25 Arda Kardzhali – HJK Helsinki 0–0

Match report

HJK Helsinki Arda Kardzhali
25′
⚽ D. Idowu 0–1
1–1 K. Meriluoto ⚽
A. Ring
38′
Half-time 1–1
Kai Meriluoto 🟨
55′
61′
🔁 S. Hostikka
↦ K. Meriluoto
61′
🔁 K. Simojoki
↦ B. Lyons-Foster
2–1 T. Pukki ⚽
A. Ring
69′
A. Shinyashiki 🔁
↦ S. Kovachev
76′
A. Vutov 🔁
↦ S. Yusein
76′
86′
⚽ B. Karagaren 2–2
I. Mane 🔁
↦ B. Karagaren
90′
91′
🟨 Andre Shinyashiki
91′
🔁 P. Mentu
↦ L. Lingman
Georgios Antzoulas 🟨
96′
Alexander Ring 🟨
96′
Santeri Hostikka 🟨
104′
I. Kazakov 🔁
↦ G. Nikolov
106′
106′
🔁 V. Besuijen
↦ J. Kallinen
108′
🟨 Gustavo Cascardo
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

HJK Helsinki

4-3-3
1 A. Gospodinov
2 Gustavo Cascardo
21 V. Velev
18 C. Huseynov
35 D. Velkovski
20 S. Yusein
4 D. Idowu
80 L. Kotev
10 S. Kovachev
9 G. Nikolov
99 B. Karagaren
Bench (10)
12 I. Nedelchev
92 M. Yusuf
11 A. Shinyashiki
26 B. Akandzha
27 B. Todev
30 I. Kazakov
33 I. Tilev
39 A. Vutov
45 I. Mane
93 F. Eboa

Coach: Miika Nuutinen

Arda Kardzhali

25 T. Nijhuis
28 M. Ylitolva
3 G. Antzoulas
6 V. Tikkanen
2 B. Lyons-Foster
15 J. Kallinen
4 A. Ring
10 L. Lingman
20 T. Pukki
99 B. Michel
42 K. Meriluoto
Bench (12)
1 J. Ost
16 E. Henriksson
7 S. Hostikka
8 G. Kanellopoulos
13 K. Simojoki
17 V. Besuijen
21 P. Mentu
24 M. Boamah
27 K. Kouassivi-Benissan
49 O. Hannula
74 M. Hyvonen
98 J. Lietsa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.