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Conference League
Referee: Jamie Robinson
Mainz
S T S T T
1–0
Full-time
Zrinjski
U S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mainz Zrinjski
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 3/1 matches
Win Ø 84%
67%
100%
Points per game
2,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
3,0
5,0
Scored
2,0
5,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+5,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,62 xG 0,05
61% Possession 39%
15 Shots 2
4 Shots on target 0
2 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Mainz Zrinjski
1–0 N. Weiper ⚽
24′
37′
🟥 Igor Savić
Half-time 1–0
Andreas Hanche-Olsen 🟨
46′
53′
🟨 Nemanja Bilbija
63′
🔁 T. Burey
↦ N. Bilbija
63′
🔁 L. Mikic
↦ J. Pranjic
65′
🟨 Kerim Memija
P. Nebel 🔁
↦ W. Boving
66′
A. Sieb 🔁
↦ N. Weiper
66′
D. Gleiber 🔁
↦ K. Sano
66′
75′
🔁 V. Damascan
↦ M. Cuze
75′
🔁 M. Cavar
↦ S. Surdanovic
P. Mwene 🔁
↦ S. Kawasaki
77′
78′
🟨 Vitalie Damașcan
79′
🟨 Ilija Mašić
Daniel Gleiber ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
81′
87′
🔁 T. Majic
↦ K. Memija
Lee Jae-Sung 🔁
↦ B. Bobzien
90′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Mainz

3-4-3
27 R. Zentner G
25 A. Hanche-Olsen D
48 K. Potulski D
31 D. Kohr D
30 S. Widmer M
15 L. Maloney M
6 K. Sano M
24 S. Kawasaki M
37 B. Bobzien F
44 N. Weiper F
14 W. Boving F
Bench (12)
1 L. Riess
33 D. Batz
2 P. Mwene
7 Lee Jae-Sung
8 P. Nebel
9 A. Nordin
10 N. Amiri
11 A. Sieb
22 N. Veratschnig
23 K. Schopp
38 J. Debrah
42 D. Gleiber

Coach: Bo Bjørnholt Henriksen

Zrinjski

4-2-3-1
18 G. Karacic G
19 M. Vranjkovic D
5 I. Masic D
55 D. Dujmovic D
50 K. Memija D
21 I. Savic M
30 N. Djurasek
25 M. Cuze M
23 S. Surdanovic M
22 J. Pranjic M
99 N. Bilbija F
Bench (12)
40 M. Ljubic
3 B. Filipovic
6 D. Karacic
7 T. Burey
9 L. Mikic
12 P. Mamic
14 M. Sakota
20 A. Ivancic
24 D. Velkovski
31 V. Damascan
42 M. Cavar
90 T. Majic

Coach: Igor Štimac

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.