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Conference League
Referee: Horatiu Fesnic
Rīgas FS
T T T T T
2–2
Full-time
Hamrun Spartans
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rīgas FS Hamrun Spartans
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
0,5
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
1,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Recent head-to-head meetings

21. Aug -25 Hamrun Spartans – Rīgas FS 1–0

Match report

Rīgas FS Hamrun Spartans
12′
⚽ S. Thioune 0–1
N. Koffi
14′
🟨 Emerson
1–1 S. Panic ⚽
17′
Petr Mareš 🟨
18′
18′
🟨 Henry Bonello
19′
🟨 Ognjen Bjeličić
Half-time 1–1
55′
🔁 M. Kigurs
↦ T. Wouter
Stefan Panić 🟨
56′
63′
🔁 D. Lemajic
↦ I. Diomande
A. Coric 🔁
↦ D. Simkus
65′
67′
⚽ V. Polito 1–2
A. Coric
M. Garcia 🔁
↦ Ederson
73′
75′
🔁 B. Diedhiou
↦ M. Talla
M. El Fanis 🔁
↦ S. Thioune
82′
86′
🟨 Ante Ćorić
2–2 D. Lemajic ⚽
J. Ikaunieks
87′
96′
🟨 N'Dri Koffi
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Rīgas FS

4-2-3-1
1 H. Bonello
94 R. Camenzuli
27 O. Bjelicic
91 Emerson
2 Rafael Compri
33 D. Simkus
25 Ederson
13 V. Polito
10 J. Mbong
9 S. Thioune
19 N. Koffi
Bench (12)
12 M. Camilleri
98 Celio
3 N. Micallef
5 S. Xerri
6 D. Letherby
7 S. Attard
8 M. Garcia
16 S. Camilleri
24 A. Coric
47 M. El Fanis
77 M. Hadzi
80 Jonny

Coach: Viktors Morozs

Hamrun Spartans

4-4-1-1
35 M. Maric
11 R. Savalnieks
2 A. Filipovic
43 Z. Lipuscek
25 P. Mares
26 S. Panic
18 D. Zelenkovs
70 M. Talla
10 J. Ikaunieks
37 T. Wouter
7 I. Diomande
Bench (10)
13 S. Vilkovs
16 J. Nerugals
9 D. Ikaunieks
21 E. Stuglis
22 D. Lemajic
27 R. Sibass
32 Facu
49 M. Kigurs
71 B. Diedhiou
81 S. Rakic

Coach: Giacomo Modica

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.