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Conference League
Referee: Jeremy Muller
Kauno Žalgiris
T S U U S
0–1
Full-time
Arda Kardzhali
U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kauno Žalgiris Arda Kardzhali
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/2 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
This season — Conference League · 4/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 63%
75%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

Kauno Žalgiris Arda Kardzhali
Damjan Pavlović 🟥
5′
23′
🟨 Jalal Huseynov
Temur Chogadze 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🟨 Vyacheslav Velev
46′
🔁 A. Vutov
↦ G. Nikolov
53′
⚽ A. Vutov 0–1
S. Kovachev
Anton Tolordava 🟨
57′
59′
🟨 Serkan Yussein
72′
🔁 A. Shinyashiki
↦ S. Yusein
72′
🔁 I. Mane
↦ B. Karagaren
75′
🟨 Isnaba Mané
79′
🔁 Gustavo Cascardo
↦ D. Velkovski
Nosa Iyobosa Edokpolor 🟨
81′
D. Naah 🔁
↦ D. Georgijevic
81′
V. Paulauskas 🔁
↦ T. Chogadze
81′
86′
🔁 I. Tilev
↦
V. Armanavicius 🔁
↦ F. Ourega
88′
R. Jansonas 🔁
↦ A. Benchaib
88′
E. Jurjonas 🔁
↦ N. Iyobosa Edokpolor
94′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Kauno Žalgiris

55 T. Svedkauskas G
21 H. Bah-Traore D
3 A. Tolordava D
23 A. Hernandez D
37 N. Iyobosa Edokpolor D
6 D. Pavlovic M
10 G. Sirgedas M
9 T. Chogadze M
7 A. Benchaib M
70 F. Ourega M
77 D. Georgijevic F
Bench (12)
22 D. Mikelionis
2 T. Burdzilauskas
5 D. Kerkez
8 V. Armanavicius
11 F. Cernych
14 D. Naah
19 R. Jansonas
20 R. Lekiatas
28 E. Burdzilauskas
30 N. Vosylius
66 E. Jurjonas
79 V. Paulauskas

Arda Kardzhali

1 A. Gospodinov G
21 V. Velev D
93 F. Eboa D
18 C. Huseynov D
35 D. Velkovski D
80 L. Kotev M
4 D. Idowu M
10 S. Kovachev M
20 S. Yusein M
99 B. Karagaren M
9 G. Nikolov
Bench (10)
12 I. Nedelchev
92 M. Yusuf
2 Gustavo Cascardo
11 A. Shinyashiki
26 B. Akandzha
27 B. Todev
30 I. Kazakov
33 I. Tilev
39 A. Vutov
45 I. Mane

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.