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Conference League
Referee: Ante Culina
Arda Kardzhali
U U S
2–0
Full-time
Kauno Žalgiris
S U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Arda Kardzhali Kauno Žalgiris
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,7
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
This season — Conference League · 3/5 matches
Win Ø 37%
33%
40%
Points per game
1,7
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
33%
40%
Both score Ø 47%
33%
60%
Average goals
1,7
2,2
Scored
1,0
1,4
Conceded
0,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Recent head-to-head meetings

7. Aug -25 Kauno Žalgiris – Arda Kardzhali 0–1

Match report

Arda Kardzhali Kauno Žalgiris
1–0 D. Velkovski ⚽
S. Kovachev
8′
12′
🟨 Amine Benchaib
2–0 S. Kovachev ⚽
B. Karagaren
12′
Georgi Nikolov 🟨
15′
24′
🟨 Temur Chogadze
34′
🟥 Divine Naah
Half-time 2–0
D. Kerkez 🔁
↦ A. Tolordava
46′
V. Armanavicius 🔁
↦ G. Sirgedas
46′
F. Cernych 🔁
↦ A. Benchaib
46′
V. Paulauskas 🔁
↦ F. Ourega
46′
46′
🔁 I. Tilev
↦ G. Nikolov
46′
🔁 A. Vutov
↦ S. Yusein
48′
🟨 Temur Chogadze
48′
🟥 Temur Chogadze
58′
🟨 Dejan Georgijević
E. Jurjonas 🔁
↦ N. Iyobosa Edokpolor
62′
65′
🔁 Gustavo Cascardo
↦ V. Velev
65′
🔁 I. Mane
↦ S. Kovachev
75′
🔁 I. Kazakov
↦ B. Karagaren
Isnaba Mané 🟨
92′
93′
🟨 Haymenn Bah-Traoré
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Arda Kardzhali

55 T. Svedkauskas
21 H. Bah-Traore
3 A. Tolordava
23 A. Hernandez
37 N. Iyobosa Edokpolor
14 D. Naah
10 G. Sirgedas
9 T. Chogadze
7 A. Benchaib
70 F. Ourega
77 D. Georgijevic
Bench (12)
22 D. Mikelionis
35 J. Miksiunas
2 T. Burdzilauskas
5 D. Kerkez
8 V. Armanavicius
11 F. Cernych
19 R. Jansonas
20 R. Lekiatas
28 E. Burdzilauskas
30 N. Vosylius
66 E. Jurjonas
79 V. Paulauskas

Kauno Žalgiris

1 A. Gospodinov
21 V. Velev
93 F. Eboa
18 C. Huseynov
35 D. Velkovski
4 D. Idowu
80 L. Kotev
10 S. Kovachev
20 S. Yusein
99 B. Karagaren
9 G. Nikolov
Bench (10)
92 M. Yusuf
2 Gustavo Cascardo
11 A. Shinyashiki
23 E. Viyachki
26 B. Akandzha
27 B. Todev
30 I. Kazakov
33 I. Tilev
39 A. Vutov
45 I. Mane

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.