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Conference League
Referee: Andris Treimanis
FC Noah
T T U U S
3–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Noah Olimpija Ljubljana
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,5
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 1/5 matches
Win Ø 70%
100%
40%
Points per game
3,0
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 80%
100%
60%
Both score Ø 90%
100%
80%
Average goals
5,0
3,8
Scored
4,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+3,0
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

FC Noah Olimpija Ljubljana
Sergey Muradyan 🟨
2′
1–0 H. Ferreira
17′
2–0 Matheus Aias
H. Ferreira
20′
Half-time 2–1
56′
A. Marin 2–1
J. Celhaka 🔁
↦ P. Agba
57′
M. Brest 🔁
↦ D. Kojic
57′
I. Durdov 🔁
↦ A. Marin
57′
Gustavo Sangaré 🟨
59′
66′
🔁 N. Mulahusejnovic
↦ Matheus Aias
66′
🔁 H. Harutyunyan
↦ G. Sangare
D. Pinto 🔁
↦ A. Blanco
70′
75′
🔁 V. Pinson
↦ I. Oulad Omar
76′
I. Durdov 2–2
A. Tamm
3–2 H. Harutyunyan
77′
80′
🟨 Diga
Marin Jakoliš 🟨
87′
88′
🔁 H. Hambardzumyan
↦ D. Sualehe
88′
🔁 N. Zolotic
↦ E. Boakye
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

FC Noah

4-1-4-1
52 M. Dajcar
28 Diga
4 V. Jelenkovic
30 J. Gorenc
3 J. Urbancic
34 A. Doffo
6 P. Agba
11 A. Blanco
99 A. Marin
9 D. Kojic
24 A. Tamm
Bench (10)
36 G. Fink
23 D. Pinto
10 D. Mitrovski
16 J. Celhaka
18 M. Brest
19 I. Durdov
27 F. Ananou
33 J. Govea
45 M. Acimovic
88 Thalisson

Coach: Sandro Perković

Olimpija Ljubljana

4-4-2
22 O. Cancarevic
6 E. Boakye
37 G. Silva
3 S. Muradyan
33 D. Sualehe
17 G. Sangare
88 Y. Eteki
7 H. Ferreira
11 I. Oulad Omar
47 M. Jakolis
9 Matheus Aias
Bench (11)
29 A. Coneglian
4 G. Thorarinsson
10 A. Dashyan
14 T. Oshima
19 H. Hambardzumyan
24 Z. Khudaverdyan
27 G. Manvelyan
32 N. Mulahusejnovic
44 N. Zolotic
93 V. Pinson
99 H. Harutyunyan

Coach: Erwin van de Looi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.