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Conference League
Referee: M Kristoffersen
Maribor
S T T T U
2–0
Full-time
Universitatea Craiova
S T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Maribor Universitatea Craiova
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,8
2,2
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
2,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

Maribor Universitatea Craiova
31′
🟥 Denil Maldonado
36′
🔁 J. Badelj
↦ C. Mora
42′
🟨 Luis Paradela
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 T. Oshima
↦ L. Paradela
Pijus Širvys ❌
penalty missed
52′
Pijus Širvys 🟨
52′
1–0 J. Repas ⚽
57′
A. Jakupovic 🔁
↦ M. Barišič
59′
59′
🔁 E. Koljić
↦ A. Ivan
K. Borys 🔁
↦ M. Božić
73′
B. M'bondo 🔁
↦ S. Karič
73′
G. Sikošek 🔁
↦ P. Širvys
82′
83′
🔁 Ș. Baiaram
↦ A. Crețu
83′
🔁 M. Căpățînă
↦ Ș. Vlădoiu
2–0 A. Jakupovic ⚽
88′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Maribor

4-2-3-1
1 A. Jug G
5 P. Širvys D
50 L. Vidmar D
25 S. Karič D
22 M. Milec D
15 J. Repas M
20 Z. Repas M
10 M. Barišič M
72 J. Iličić M
8 M. Božić M
13 E. Beugré F
Bench (12)
17 A. Jakupovic
21 K. Borys
6 B. M'bondo
12 G. Sikošek
11 R. Bourlès
16 N. Grlić
59 S. Pridgar
55 M. Lorber
48 A. Dizdarević
7 B. Feta
35 M. Bilać
81 M. Bergsen

Coach: A. Šimundža

Universitatea Craiova

4-2-3-1
21 L. Popescu G
2 Ș. Vlădoiu D
3 D. Maldonado D
26 G. Zajkov D
11 N. Bancu D
4 A. Crețu M
5 A. Mekvabishvili M
17 C. Mora M
28 A. Mitriță M
7 L. Paradela M
9 A. Ivan F
Bench (12)
15 J. Badelj
8 T. Oshima
19 E. Koljić
10 Ș. Baiaram
23 M. Căpățînă
33 S. Lung
25 Grego Sierra
31 Ș. Bană
27 D. Barbu
14 L. Houri
36 F. Gașpăr
12 Basilio Ndong

Coach: C. Gâlcă

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Kristoffersen · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.