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Conference League
Referee: B McMaster
Floriana
U T S U
0–1
Full-time
Guimaraes
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Floriana Guimaraes
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches
Win Ø 29%
25%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
25%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
1,8
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
0,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

Floriana Guimaraes
38′
🟨 Nélson Oliveira
Fernandinho 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–0
57′
🟨 Jota Silva
63′
🔁 J. Ramírez
↦ Nélson Oliveira
63′
🔁 Samu
↦ Nuno Santos
63′
🔁 Kaio César
↦ Ricardo Mangas
78′
⚽ Jota Silva 0–1
C. Lonardelli 🔁
↦ Thiaguinho Santos
81′
M. Veselji 🔁
↦ D. Vella
81′
G. Yaméogo 🔁
↦ A. Garzia
85′
A. Obonogwu 🔁
↦ J. Grech
88′
91′
🔁 Marco Cruz
↦ Tiago Silva
91′
🔁 Zé Carlos
↦ Jota Silva
Carlo Zammit Lonardelli 🟨
92′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Floriana

5-3-2
45 C. Mafoumbi G
77 A. Garzia D
4 O. El Hasni D
17 O. Spiteri D
55 A. Kouros D
70 Fernandinho D
12 D. Vella M
8 J. Grech M
20 M. García M
11 Thiaguinho Santos M
9 K. Reid F
Bench (9)
21 C. Lonardelli
7 M. Veselji
79 G. Yaméogo
90 A. Obonogwu
14 E. Micallef
99 N. Andrijanić
22 K. Nwoko
37 R. Cutajar
23 C. Buttigieg

Coach: D. Abdilla

Guimaraes

4-3-3
14 Bruno Varela G
52 Alberto Baio D
44 Jorge Fernandes D
24 T. Borevković D
13 João Teixeira Mendes D
10 Tiago Silva M
8 Tomás Händel M
77 Nuno Santos M
11 Jota Silva F
7 Nélson Oliveira F
19 Ricardo Mangas M
Bench (11)
9 J. Ramírez
20 Samu
37 Kaio César
5 Marco Cruz
28 Zé Carlos
6 Manu
79 Bica
2 Miguel Maga
3 M. Villanueva
27 Charles
91 Gui

Coach: Rui Borges

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.