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Conference League
Referee: Fábio Veríssimo
Maribor
U S U S T
0–3
Full-time
Fenerbahce
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Maribor Fenerbahce
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,3
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,2
3,7
Scored
1,5
2,8
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+2,0
This season — Conference League · 5/3 matches
Win Ø 70%
40%
100%
Points per game
1,6
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 80%
60%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
3,6
4,3
Scored
1,8
4,0
Conceded
1,8
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+3,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

40% Possession 60%
10 Shots 18
4 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 4
3 Offside 4
13 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

10. Aug -23 Fenerbahce – Maribor 3–1

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.