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Referee: K Hagenes
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
T T T S S
2–1
Full-time
Pafos
T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FK Zalgiris Vilnius Pafos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/2 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
83%
100%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,3
5,0
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
2,7
4,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
-3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

FK Zalgiris Vilnius Pafos
1–0 L. Antal ⚽
17′
2–0 L. Antal ⚽
26′
Half-time 2–0
57′
🟨 Pedro Pelágio
Paulius Golubickas 🟨
61′
62′
⚽ J. Moutachy 3–0
own goal
66′
🔁 D. Luckassen
↦ Pedro Pelágio
66′
🔁 Jajá
↦ O. Valakari
N. Petković 🔁
↦ A. Fofana
70′
A. Hodžić 🔁
↦ L. Antal
70′
76′
🔁 K. Pileas
↦ M. Melluso
87′
🔁 Diogo Dall'Igna
↦ Pêpê Rodrigues
87′
🔁 Anderson Silva
↦ Jairo
J. Larsson 🔁
↦ P. Golubickas
88′
Jake Larsson 🟨
90′
Armin Hodžić 🟨
95′
96′
🟨 Diogo Dall'Igna
M. Mazur 🔁
↦ Y. Karashima
98′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

FK Zalgiris Vilnius

4-4-2
96 Á. Tordai G
45 J. Moutachy D
26 Y. Zahary D
77 Y. Kendysh D
7 J. Bopesu D
22 O. Verbickas M
17 G. Matulevičius M
8 Y. Karashima M
10 P. Golubickas M
80 L. Antal F
2 A. Fofana F
Bench (9)
11 N. Petković
15 A. Hodžić
12 J. Larsson
18 M. Mazur
41 M. Šetkus
56 J. Aliukonis
71 N. Mihajlović
44 P. Matyžonok
1 D. Marković

Coach: V. Cheburin

Pafos

4-2-3-1
1 I. Ivušić G
7 Bruno Felipe M
6 Pedro Pelágio M
5 David Goldar D
3 M. Melluso D
25 M. Name M
30 V. Dragomir M
24 O. Valakari M
88 Pêpê Rodrigues M
22 M. Tankovic M
10 Jairo F
Bench (11)
23 D. Luckassen
11 Jajá
2 K. Pileas
34 Diogo Dall'Igna
33 Anderson Silva
83 P. Theodoulou
45 Rafael Pontelo
81 G. Kolotas
93 N. Michael
70 M. Ilia
80 C. Efzona

Coach: Carcedo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

K Hagenes · 99 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.