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Conference League
Referee: J Muller
Stjarnan
S T
2–1
Full-time
Paide
T U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stjarnan Paide
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,5
2,0
Scored
2,0
0,5
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,0
This season — Conference League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
3,5
2,5
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

Stjarnan Paide
H. Brink 🔁
↦ Ó. Ómarsson
14′
1–0 E. Atlason ⚽
24′
25′
🔁 D. Jepihhin
↦ S. Luts
45′
🟨 Abdoulie Ceesay
Half-time 1–0
55′
🔁 D. Luts
↦ A. Ceesay
55′
⚽ P. Kristal 1–1
Kjartan Mar Kjartansson 🟨
62′
70′
🟨 Predrag Medić
J. Gunnarsson 🔁
↦ K. Kjartansson
71′
B. Guðlaugsson 🔁
↦ H. Ingason
71′
H. Halldórsson 🔁
↦ Ö. Eggertsson
71′
2–1 E. Atlason ⚽
73′
75′
🔁 O. Hõim
↦ P. Medić
75′
🔁 T. Agyepong
↦ R. Saarma
Haukur Örn Brink 🟨
80′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Stjarnan

5-4-1
13 M. Rosenørn G
4 Ó. Ómarsson D
2 H. Ægisson D
5 G. Kristjánsson D
6 S. Ingimarsson D
32 Ö. Örvarsson D
80 R. Þorkelsson M
35 H. Ingason M
30 K. Kjartansson M
7 Ö. Eggertsson M
22 E. Atlason F
Bench (12)
37 H. Brink
8 J. Gunnarsson
28 B. Guðlaugsson
10 H. Halldórsson
19 D. Matthíasson
24 S. Jónsson
12 Á. Ólafsson
9 D. Laxdal
15 Þ. Valdimarsson
41 A. Gudjónsson
11 A. Birgisson
14 J. Barkarson

Coach: J. Elísabetarson

Paide

3-4-3
99 E. Jarju G
2 M. Lilander D
27 N. Baranov D
29 J. Saliste D
6 P. Kristal M
23 M. Delević D
16 P. Medić M
8 Henrik Ojamaa M
19 S. Luts M
20 A. Ceesay F
14 R. Saarma F
Bench (12)
17 D. Jepihhin
41 D. Luts
28 O. Hõim
80 T. Agyepong
1 M. Aksalu
10 A. Frolov
25 Mouhamed Guèye I
60 M. Sapp
15 Hindrek Ojamaa
24 M. Suso
5 G. Juhkam
11 M. Gomis

Coach: I. Stojković

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.