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Europa League
Referee: V Romanov
Maribor
U S T T T
2–2
Full-time
Botev Plovdiv
U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Maribor Botev Plovdiv
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/3 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,7
1,7
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
2,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,3
This season — Europa League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

11. Jul -24 Botev Plovdiv – Maribor 2–1

Match report

Maribor Botev Plovdiv
1–0 J. Repas ⚽
J. Iličić
13′
33′
🟨 Ivelin Popov
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 C. Nwachukwu
↦ N. Iliev
47′
⚽ C. Nwachukwu 1–1
Antonio Perera
M. Božić 🔁
↦ M. Barišič
56′
60′
⚽ A. Ujah 1–2
C. Nwachukwu
G. Sikošek 🔁
↦ R. Bourlès
63′
E. Beugré 🔁
↦ Z. Repas
63′
69′
🔁 E. Ukaki
↦ S. Akere
72′
🟨 Ehije Ukaki
N. Grlić 🔁
↦ A. Jakupovic
74′
2–2 E. Beugré ⚽
M. Božić
80′
83′
🔁 S. Diabaté
↦ I. Popov
87′
🟨 Nikolay Minkov
87′
🔁 M. Sekulić
↦ A. Ujah
88′
🟨 James Eto'o
Full-time 2–2

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.