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Conference League
Referee: R Jones
Fenerbahce
S T S S S
3–1
Full-time
Maribor
T U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fenerbahce Maribor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
2,8
1,3
Conceded
0,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+2,3
+0,2
This season — Conference League · 2/4 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
4,5
3,5
Scored
4,5
2,0
Conceded
0,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+4,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

65% Possession 35%
20 Shots 5
9 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
11 Corners 3
5 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Fenerbahce Maribor
Luan Peres 🟨
10′
35′
🟨 Jan Repas
43′
🟨 Itsuki Urata
Half-time 0–0
S. Szymański 🔁
↦ J. King
46′
46′
🔁 M. Strajnar
↦ I. Urata
56′
🔁 J. Iličić
↦ A. Pihler
1–0 Rodrigo Becão ⚽
58′
2–0 İ. Kahveci ⚽
62′
Miguel Crespo 🔁
↦ M. Zajc
66′
M. Batshuayi 🔁
↦ E. Džeko
67′
69′
🔁 S. Karič
↦ I. Brnić
69′
🔁 A. Antolin
↦ J. Repas
72′
⚽ M. Strajnar 2–1
R. Kent 🔁
↦ İ. Kahveci
83′
83′
🔁 A. Žinič
↦ M. Kolar
3–1 D. Tadić ⚽
93′
Bright Osayi-Samuel 🟨
94′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Fenerbahce

4-4-2
1 A. Bayındır G
21 B. Osayi-Samuel D
50 Rodrigo Becão D
14 Luan Peres D
7 F. Kadıoğlu D
17 İ. Kahveci M
80 İ. Yüksek M
26 M. Zajc M
15 J. King M
10 D. Tadić F
9 E. Džeko F
Bench (12)
53 S. Szymański
27 Miguel Crespo
23 M. Batshuayi
11 R. Kent
70 İ. Eğribayat
6 A. Djiku
24 J. Oosterwolde
16 M. Müldür
3 S. Akaydin
22 U. Nayir
28 B. Elmaz
97 F. Akyüz

Coach: İ. Kartal

Maribor

4-2-3-1
1 A. Jug G
22 M. Milec D
20 M. Watson D
23 L. Uskoković D
14 I. Urata D
55 M. Lorber M
6 A. Pihler M
24 M. Kolar M
15 J. Repas M
7 I. Brnić M
17 A. Jakupovic F
Bench (12)
3 M. Strajnar
72 J. Iličić
25 S. Karič
16 A. Antolin
29 A. Žinič
31 I. Rafiu
52 M. Zalokar
4 B. Vrhovec
81 M. Bergsen
11 X. Skuka
32 N. Mitrovič
8 M. Božić

Coach: D. Krznar

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

R Jones · 186 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.