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Conference League
Referee: K Jakubik
Maribor
U T U S U
4–3
Full-time
FC Differdange 03
U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Maribor FC Differdange 03
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/3 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
1,5
2,3
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
This season — Conference League · 3/1 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

22 Shots 10
9 Shots on target 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 1
21 Free kicks against 27
5 Yellow cards 7
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

27. Jul -23 FC Differdange 03 – Maribor 1–1

Match report

Maribor FC Differdange 03
1–0 M. Kolar ⚽
5′
28′
⚽ Érico Castro 1–1
31′
🟨 Lucas Pruzzo
Luka Uskoković 🟨
42′
42′
⚽ G. Trani 1–2
Half-time 1–2
S. Karič 🔁
↦ L. Uskoković
46′
A. Pihler 🔁
↦ M. Laušić
46′
46′
🔁 Manuel Pami
↦ N. Monge
46′
⚽ G. Trani 1–3
J. Iličić 🔁
↦ M. Lorber
54′
54′
🔁 L. Rauch
↦ Ulisses Oliveira
2–3 J. Repas ⚽
62′
M. Božić 🔁
↦ M. Kolar
64′
72′
🔁 G. Bei
↦ A. Naïfi
72′
🔁 Diogo Lamas
↦ Érico Castro
80′
🔁 L. Comachi
↦ G. Trani
3–3 I. Brnić ⚽
82′
90′
🟨 Kevin D'Anzico
92′
🟨 Gianluca Bei
X. Skuka 🔁
↦ A. Jakupovic
105′
Aleks Pihler 🟨
107′
Jan Repas 🟨
108′
Marko Božić 🟨
112′
Xhuliano Skuka 🟨
115′
115′
🟨 Manuel Pami
118′
🟨 Juan Bedouret
121′
🟨 Ludovic Rauch
4–3 J. Iličić ⚽
121′
Full-time 4–3

Line-ups

Maribor

4-4-2
1 A. Jug G
22 M. Milec D
20 M. Watson D
23 L. Uskoković D
14 I. Urata D
30 M. Laušić M
15 J. Repas M
55 M. Lorber M
7 I. Brnić F
24 M. Kolar F
17 A. Jakupovic F
Bench (12)
25 S. Karič
6 A. Pihler
72 J. Iličić
8 M. Božić
11 X. Skuka
81 M. Bergsen
52 M. Zalokar
29 A. Žinič
31 I. Rafiu
32 N. Mitrovič
35 B. Horvat
3 M. Strajnar

Coach: D. Krznar

FC Differdange 03

3-4-3
16 R. Ruffier G
4 K. D'Anzico D
5 T. Brusco D
14 J. Bedouret D
25 G. Franzoni F
20 N. Monge M
88 Ulisses Oliveira M
23 L. Pruzzo D
10 A. Naïfi M
9 Érico Castro F
8 G. Trani M
Bench (11)
6 Manuel Pami
21 L. Rauch
77 G. Bei
13 Diogo Lamas
11 L. Comachi
22 L. Taveira
28 Jorginho
19 A. Huskic
30 Rui Nibra
12 E. Nurkovic
73 Edgar Neves

Coach: Pedro Resende

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

K Jakubik · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.