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Conference League
Referee: Ricardo De Burgos
Hibernian
S T S T U
0–5
Full-time
Aston Villa
S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hibernian Aston Villa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
4,3
3,2
Scored
2,5
1,7
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

30% Possession 70%
5 Shots 18
2 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 8
9 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Hibernian Aston Villa
17′
⚽ O. Watkins 0–1
21′
🟨 Lucas Digne
33′
⚽ O. Watkins 0–2
42′
⚽ L. Bailey 0–3
Half-time 0–3
J. Jeggo 🔁
↦ J. Obita
46′
46′
🔁 R. Olsen
↦ E. Martínez
48′
⚽ O. Watkins 0–4
50′
ℹ️ Ollie Watkins
VAR: Goal confirmed
67′
🔁 Y. Tielemans
↦ B. Kamara
R. Bushiri 🔁
↦ P. Hanlon
68′
C. Doidge 🔁
↦ D. Vente
69′
J. Doyle-Hayes 🔁
↦ J. Campbell
69′
69′
🔁 B. Traoré
↦ O. Watkins
69′
🔁 J. Durán
↦ L. Bailey
74′
⚽ Douglas Luiz 0–5
75′
🔁 M. Cash
↦ E. Konsa
A. Delferrière 🔁
↦ J. Newell
88′
Martin Boyle 🟨
91′
Full-time 0–5

Line-ups

Hibernian

4-1-4-1
1 D. Marshall G
2 L. Miller D
5 W. Fish D
4 P. Hanlon D
16 L. Stevenson D
32 J. Campbell M
10 M. Boyle M
9 D. Vente M
11 J. Newell M
21 J. Obita M
7 É. Youan F
Bench (12)
14 J. Jeggo
33 R. Bushiri
23 C. Doidge
8 J. Doyle-Hayes
28 A. Delferrière
42 K. Megwa
26 R. Harbottle
40 R. McAllister
19 A. Le Fondre
25 M. Boruc
44 J. MacIntyre
35 R. Molotnikov

Coach: L. Johnson

Aston Villa

4-2-3-1
1 E. Martínez G
4 E. Konsa D
3 Diego Carlos D
14 Pau Torres D
12 L. Digne D
44 B. Kamara M
6 Douglas Luiz M
31 L. Bailey M
19 M. Diaby M
7 J. McGinn M
11 O. Watkins F
Bench (9)
25 R. Olsen
8 Y. Tielemans
9 B. Traoré
24 J. Durán
2 M. Cash
42 F. Marschall
59 J. Feeney
16 C. Chambers
56 S. Revan

Coach: Unai Emery

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Ricardo De Burgos · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.