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Conference League
Referee: L Fähndrich
Neftchi Baku
S S T U S
1–3
Full-time
Besiktas
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Neftchi Baku Besiktas
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,7
4,5
Scored
1,5
3,3
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+2,2
This season — Conference League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
2,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
2,0
2,5
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

41% Possession 59%
16 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 7
6 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 7
1 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Neftchi Baku Besiktas
14′
⚽ V. Aboubakar 0–1
23′
⚽ J. Muleka 0–2
Half-time 0–2
F. Ozobić 🔁
↦ F. Yusifli
46′
A. Olanare 🔁
↦ A. Salahlı
46′
E. Koffi 🔁
↦ İ. Zülfüqarlı
46′
Ataa Jaber 🟨
56′
62′
⚽ S. Uçan 0–3
64′
🔁 J. Onana
↦ U. Meraş
Kenny Saief 🟨
76′
77′
🔁 S. Kılıçsoy
↦ V. Aboubakar
77′
🔁 E. Tıknaz
↦ A. Hadžiahmetović
77′
🔁 A. Rebić
↦ S. Uçan
1–3 K. Lebon ⚽
79′
Emin Makhmudov 🟨
84′
87′
🟨 Valentin Rosier
89′
🔁 O. Akgün
↦ J. Muleka
R. Hacıyev 🔁
↦ K. Lebon
95′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Neftchi Baku

4-4-1-1
1 I. Brkić G
21 İ. Zülfüqarlı D
44 Yuri Matias D
4 M. Tamás D
19 A. Salahlı D
5 K. Saief M
23 Ataa Jaber M
27 F. Yusifli M
11 K. Lebon M
8 E. Mahmudov F
9 Andre Shinyashiki F
Bench (10)
10 F. Ozobić
25 A. Olanare
99 E. Koffi
17 R. Hacıyev
77 E. Bogomolskiy
93 R. Cəfərov
41 S. Gasanov
37 E. Əlibəyli
82 R. Abbasov
3 H. Haqqverdi

Coach: A. Mutu

Besiktas

4-3-3
34 M. Günok G
24 V. Rosier D
12 D. Amartey D
6 O. Colley D
77 U. Meraş D
8 S. Uçan M
19 A. Hadžiahmetović M
83 Gedson Fernandes M
4 O. Bulut F
10 V. Aboubakar F
40 J. Muleka F
Bench (12)
71 J. Onana
90 S. Kılıçsoy
21 E. Tıknaz
7 A. Rebić
41 O. Akgün
20 N. Uysal
97 U. Yuvakuran
1 E. Destanoğlu
17 K. Kesgin
99 E. Bulut
23 K. Yılmaz
3 Javi Montero

Coach: Ş. Güneş

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

L Fähndrich · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.