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Conference League
Referee: B Dankert
Neftchi Baku
T
3–0
Full-time
Aris
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Neftchi Baku Aris
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 9%
0%
17%
Average goals
2,0
2,2
Scored
0,0
1,5
Conceded
2,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+0,8
This season — Conference League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
0,0
2,0
Conceded
2,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2 Corners 6
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

21. Jul -22 Aris – Neftchi Baku 2–0

Match report

Neftchi Baku Aris
4′
🟨 Július Szőke
5′
🟨 Franz Brorsson
Azer Salahli 🟨
24′
Vojislav Stanković 🟨
31′
1–0 G. Donyoh ⚽
38′
40′
🟨 Morgan Brown
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 S. Babicka
↦ M. Šlogar
2–0 E. İsrafilov ⚽
57′
58′
🟨 Delmiro
3–0 K. Saief ⚽
62′
67′
🔁 E. Yablonskiy
↦ L. Bengtsson
F. Yusifli 🔁
↦ E. İsrafilov
81′
82′
🟨 Morgan Brown
82′
🟥 Morgan Brown
R. Hacıyev 🔁
↦ A. Salahlı
86′
Ö. Buludov 🔁
↦ K. Saief
89′
Farid Yusifli 🟨
91′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Neftchi Baku

4-3-3
1 I. Brkić G
3 M. Mbodj D
4 S. Kvirkvelia D
6 V. Stanković D
19 A. Salahlı D
23 A. Jaber M
8 E. Mahmudov M
14 E. İsrafilov M
24 Y. Lawal F
11 G. Donyoh F
5 K. Saief M
Bench (12)
27 F. Yusifli
17 R. Hacıyev
26 Ö. Buludov
30 A. Məmmədov
16 Guilherme Pato
7 A. Aliev
73 R. Nəsirli
21 İ. Zülfüqarlı
20 V. Əsgərov
77 E. Bogomolskiy
93 R. Cəfərov
82 R. Abbasov

Coach: L. Reghecampf

Aris

5-4-1
1 Vaná G
8 M. Brown M
20 S. Yago D
31 F. Brorsson D
13 Delmiro D
3 Caju D
21 M. Mayambela F
37 J. Szöke M
27 M. Šlogar M
7 L. Bengtsson F
14 Y. Gomis F
Bench (9)
80 S. Babicka
58 E. Yablonskiy
72 F. Djave
90 E. Sofroniou
9 D. Sikorski
5 K. Pileas
30 A. Moucketou-Moussounda
65 Y. Dede-Lhomme
70 M. Papastylianou

Coach: A. Shpilevskiy

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

B Dankert · 114 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.